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Wk 4 · 2026

App State Mountaineers at NC State Wolfpack — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NCSU by 10.9

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

App State: -8.6#115
Efficiency margin
NC State: -0.1#67
App State: 22.7
Offense (pts/100)
NC State: 26.6
App State: 31.3
Defense (pts/100)
NC State: 26.8
App State: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
NC State: -1649.0
App State: no data
Yards / play
NC State: 3.29
App State: no data
Yards / play allowed
NC State: 6.07
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

App State: no data
Points / game
NC State: 8.0
App State: no data
Points allowed
NC State: 34.0
App State: no data
Yards / game
NC State: 168
App State: no data
Yards allowed
NC State: no data
App State: no data
Pass yds allowed
NC State: no data
App State: no data
Rush yds allowed
NC State: no data
App State: no data
Turnovers / game
NC State: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

App State form

No completed games on record.

NC State form

L 8-34at UVA
2026 season

App State this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

NC State this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, NC State leads 1–0 · NC State won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 13.0 points toward NC State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20062006-09-02App State 1023 NC Stateat NCSUNC State

App State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingAJ Swann QB #17130/222, 1495 YDS, 10 TD, 8 INT
JJ Kohl QB #17133/216, 1465 YDS, 12 TD, 2 INT
RushingRashod Dubinion RB #7174 CAR, 868 YDS, 4 TD
Jaquari Lewis RB #5124 CAR, 563 YDS, 6 TD
JJ Kohl QB #1730 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJaden Barnes WR #155 REC, 608 YDS, 7 TD
Dalton Stroman WR #832 REC, 570 YDS, 4 TD
Davion Dozier WR #520 REC, 448 YDS, 5 TD
Izayah Cummings TE #437 REC, 374 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesColton Phares LB #1089
Zyeir Gamble DB #370
DJ Burks DB #4265
SacksKevin Abrams-Verwayne DL #975
Aiden Benton DL #334
Caleb Sandstrom DL #413.5
InterceptionsColton Phares LB #103
Elijah Mc-Cantos DB #132
DJ Burks DB #422

NC State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #11259/372, 2884 YDS, 23 TD, 9 INT
Teddy Hoffmann WR #121/1, 59 YDS, 1 TD
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #2160 CAR, 939 YDS, 6 TD
Jayden Scott RB #187 CAR, 487 YDS, 4 TD
CJ Bailey QB #1182 CAR, 215 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingTerrell Anderson WR #938 REC, 637 YDS, 5 TD
Justin Joly TE #747 REC, 468 YDS, 7 TD
Noah Rogers WR #531 REC, 404 YDS, 2 TD
Wesley Grimes WR #626 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCaden Fordham LB #10130
Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #2368
Asaad Brown Jr. CB #657
SacksTravali Price DE #133.5
Caden Fordham LB #103.5
Tra Thomas LB #43
InterceptionsDevon Marshall CB #62
Caden Fordham LB #101
Isaiah Shirley DT #881
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.