Wk 3 · 2026
Arkansas State Red Wolves at TCU Horned Frogs — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
· ESPNU
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 20 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · no games yet
at
8:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TCU by 10.3
Big 12 · 0-1
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Arkansas St form
No completed games on record.
TCU form
L 10-15vs UNC
2026 season
Arkansas St this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
TCU this season
Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
Arkansas St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 316/470, 3073 YDS, 16 TD, 11 INT |
| Josh Flowers QB #8 | 2/6, 13 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Devin Spencer RB #4 | 102 CAR, 523 YDS, 2 TD |
| Kenyon Clay RB #5 | 128 CAR, 470 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 151 CAR, 434 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Receiving | Corey Rucker WR #7 | 69 REC, 866 YDS, 3 TD |
| Chauncy Cobb WR #2 | 69 REC, 767 YDS | |
| Hunter Summers WR #3 | 43 REC, 466 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Tyler Fortenberry TE #19 | 31 REC, 279 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Aaron Alexander LB #7 | 88 |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 76 | |
| Kyle Taylor LB #20 | 74 | |
| Sacks | Ethan Hassler DL #32 | 6.5 |
| Demarcus Hendricks DE #10 | 6.5 | |
| Bryan Whitehead DE #4 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Avante Dickerson CB #9 | 2 |
| Aaron Alexander LB #7 | 1 | |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 1 |
TCU leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Josh Hoover QB #10 | 272/413, 3472 YDS, 29 TD, 13 INT |
| Ken Seals QB #9 | 4/6, 24 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Jeremy Payne RB #26 | 97 CAR, 550 YDS, 4 TD |
| Kevorian Barnes RB #2 | 97 CAR, 443 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Trent Battle RB #6 | 62 CAR, 345 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Receiving | Eric McAlister WR #1 | 64 REC, 1121 YDS, 10 TD |
| Jordan Dwyer WR #7 | 54 REC, 730 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Joseph Manjack IV WR #14 | 41 REC, 551 YDS, 3 TD | |
| DJ Rogers TE #0 | 32 REC, 300 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Kaleb Elarms-Orr LB #3 | 119 |
| Jamel Johnson S #2 | 89 | |
| Namdi Obiazor LB #4 | 81 | |
| Sacks | Kaleb Elarms-Orr LB #3 | 4 |
| Devean Deal EDGE #11 | 3.5 | |
| Kylin Jackson S #6 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Bud Clark S #21 | 4 |
| Jamel Johnson S #2 | 4 | |
| Namdi Obiazor LB #4 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.