Wk 3 · 2026
Ball State Cardinals at Liberty Flames — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
· ESPN+
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
4:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LIB by 11.7
CUSA · no games yet
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Ball State form
No completed games on record.
Liberty form
No completed games on record.
Ball State this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Liberty this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Liberty leads 1–0 · Liberty won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.0 points toward Liberty
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 2010-09-11 | Liberty 27 — 23 Ball State | at BALL | Liberty |
Ball State leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Kiael Kelly QB #1 | 154/273, 1583 YDS, 11 TD, 8 INT |
| Ty Robinson WR #10 | 2/3, 77 YDS | |
| Rushing | Kiael Kelly QB #1 | 211 CAR, 600 YDS, 5 TD |
| Qua Ashley RB #9 | 118 CAR, 547 YDS, 4 TD | |
| TJ Horton RB #4 | 60 CAR, 180 YDS | |
| Receiving | Qian Magwood WR #5 | 19 REC, 320 YDS, 1 TD |
| Donovan Hamilton WR #1 | 20 REC, 244 YDS | |
| Eric Weatherly WR #3 | 29 REC, 238 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Koby Gross TE #6 | 10 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Alfred Chea LB #0 | 59 |
| Joey Stemler LB #21 | 54 | |
| Michael Gravely Jr. DB #2 | 53 | |
| Sacks | Nathan Voorhis EDGE #44 | 12 |
| DeJuan Echoles Jr. DE #31 | 3 | |
| Drew Hughes DT #47 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Joedrick Lewis DB #1 | 3 |
| Eric McClain CB #9 | 2 | |
| Muheem McCargo DB #16 | 1 |
Liberty leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Ethan Vasko QB #15 | 151/266, 1961 YDS, 10 TD, 12 INT |
| Michael Merdinger QB #12 | 21/41, 350 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Evan Dickens RB #23 | 229 CAR, 1339 YDS, 16 TD |
| Ethan Vasko QB #15 | 100 CAR, 258 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Caden Williams RB #21 | 57 CAR, 250 YDS | |
| Receiving | Donte Lee Jr. WR #9 | 32 REC, 589 YDS, 5 TD |
| Jamari Person WR #3 | 28 REC, 315 YDS | |
| Julian Gray RB #1 | 18 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Reese Smith WR #6 | 23 REC, 209 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Derrell Farrar LB #1 | 71 |
| Joseph Carter LB #2 | 53 | |
| Damond Harmon CB #13 | 48 | |
| Sacks | Elijah Hall DL #15 | 4 |
| Brenton Williams RB #8 | 3 | |
| Christian Bodnar S #6 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Amarian Williams CB #26 | 2 |
| Damond Harmon CB #13 | 1 | |
| A'Khori Jones S #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.