Wk 3 · 2026

Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany Lions — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA · BTN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.

Buffalo Bulls

MAC · no games yet

12:00pET

no line posted yet

Ratings differential PSU by 19.6

#18 Penn State Nittany Lions

Big Ten · no games yet

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Penn State is ranked #18 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Buffalo: -7.7#110

Efficiency margin

Penn State: +9.5#22

Buffalo: 20.8

Offense (pts/100)

Penn State: 30.8

Buffalo: 28.5

Defense (pts/100)

Penn State: 21.3

Buffalo: 65.5

Pace (plays/g)

Penn State: 65.5

Buffalo: no data

Yards / play

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Yards / play allowed

Penn State: no data

Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Buffalo: no data

Points / game

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Points allowed

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Yards / game

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Yards allowed

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Pass yds allowed

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Rush yds allowed

Penn State: no data

Buffalo: no data

Turnovers / game

Penn State: no data

From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Buffalo form

No completed games on record.

Penn State form

No completed games on record.

Buffalo this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Penn State this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.

Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Penn State leads 3–0 · Penn State has won the last 3

3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 22.0 points toward Penn State

Yr	Date	Result	Site	Won
2019	2019-09-07	Buffalo 13 — 45 Penn State	at PSU	Penn State
2015	2015-09-12	Buffalo 14 — 27 Penn State	at PSU	Penn State
2007	2007-09-15	Buffalo 24 — 45 Penn State	at PSU	Penn State

Buffalo leaders 2025 regular season

Passing	Ta'Quan Roberson QB #2	206/356, 2520 YDS, 17 TD, 12 INT
	Gunnar Gray QB #9	29/53, 228 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
Rushing	Al-Jay Henderson RB #5	182 CAR, 755 YDS, 6 TD
	Terrance Shelton Jr. RB #25	57 CAR, 244 YDS, 1 TD
	Lamar Sperling RB #32	39 CAR, 234 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving	Nik McMillan WR #5	62 REC, 981 YDS, 3 TD
	Victor Snow WR #0	62 REC, 815 YDS, 8 TD
	Jasaiah Gathings WR #8	36 REC, 410 YDS, 3 TD
	Al-Jay Henderson RB #5	25 REC, 181 YDS, 1 TD

Defense

Tackles	Red Murdock LB #2	142
	Dion Crawford LB #18	79
	Miles Greer S #6	74
Sacks	Junior Poyser DL #97	5.5
	Red Murdock LB #2	5
	Malin White DE #12	4
Interceptions	Jalen McNair S #18	2
	Mitchell Gonser LB #39	2
	Solomon Brown CB #7	1

full roster and per-player history

Penn State leaders 2025 regular season

Passing	Drew Allar QB #15	103/159, 1100 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
	Ethan Grunkemeyer QB #17	100/144, 1079 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
Rushing	Kaytron Allen RB #13	210 CAR, 1303 YDS, 15 TD
	Nicholas Singleton RB #10	123 CAR, 549 YDS, 13 TD
	Drew Allar QB #15	36 CAR, 172 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving	Trebor Pena WR #8	44 REC, 452 YDS, 1 TD
	Devonte Ross WR #5	28 REC, 417 YDS, 5 TD
	Kyron Hudson WR #11	23 REC, 288 YDS, 2 TD
	Luke Reynolds TE #85	24 REC, 229 YDS

Defense

Tackles	Amare Campbell LB #0	96
	Zakee Wheatley S #6	74
	Dominic DeLuca LB #0	63
Sacks	Dani Dennis-Sutton EDGE #33	6.5
	Zane Durant DT #28	4
	Amare Campbell LB #0	3
Interceptions	Alonzo Ford Jr. DT #50	1
	Zakee Wheatley S #6	1
	Zane Durant DT #28	1

full roster and per-player history

These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.