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Wk 13 · 2026

Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH · FOX

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 89 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · no games yet
at
12:00pET
OSU -13.5 · total 46.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential OSU by 13.3
Big Ten · no games yet

What is at stake

The Game. No trophy, no nickname beyond the definite article — just the winningest rivalry in the sport, and in the 12-team playoff era it is almost always the last gate between one of these teams and a bye. A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Michigan is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17). Ohio State is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Michigan: +8.6#24
Efficiency margin
Ohio State: +19.5#4
Michigan: 29.9
Offense (pts/100)
Ohio State: 32.0
Michigan: 21.3
Defense (pts/100)
Ohio State: 12.5
Michigan: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Ohio State: 65.5
Michigan: no data
Yards / play
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Yards / play allowed
Ohio State: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Michigan: no data
Points / game
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Points allowed
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Yards / game
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Yards allowed
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Pass yds allowed
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Rush yds allowed
Ohio State: no data
Michigan: no data
Turnovers / game
Ohio State: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Michigan form

No completed games on record.

Ohio State form

No completed games on record.

Michigan this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Ohio State this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentMichiganOhio State
Iowa
Big Ten
vs Wk 4 · scheduled previewat Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Indiana
Big Ten
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Oregon
Big Ten
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Ohio State leads 14–5 · Ohio State won the last one
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 9.0 points toward Ohio State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-29Ohio State 279 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20242024-11-30Michigan 1310 Ohio Stateat OSUMichigan
20232023-11-25Ohio State 2430 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20222022-11-26Michigan 4523 Ohio Stateat OSUMichigan
20212021-11-27Ohio State 2742 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20192019-11-30Ohio State 5627 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20182018-11-24Michigan 3962 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20172017-11-25Ohio State 3120 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20162016-11-26Michigan 2730 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20152015-11-28Ohio State 4213 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20142014-11-29Michigan 2842 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20132013-11-30Ohio State 4241 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20122012-11-24Michigan 2126 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20112011-11-26Ohio State 3440 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20102010-11-27Michigan 737 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20092009-11-21Ohio State 2110 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20082008-11-22Michigan 742 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20072007-11-17Ohio State 143 Michiganat MICHOhio State
20062006-11-18Michigan 3942 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State

Michigan leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #19179/293, 2229 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT
Donaven McCulley WR #10/1, 0 YDS
RushingJordan Marshall RB #23150 CAR, 932 YDS, 10 TD
Justice Haynes RB #22121 CAR, 857 YDS, 10 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1974 CAR, 323 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingAndrew Marsh WR #342 REC, 641 YDS, 3 TD
Donaven McCulley WR #135 REC, 534 YDS, 3 TD
Semaj Morgan WR #419 REC, 214 YDS, 1 TD
Marlin Klein TE #1720 REC, 209 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJimmy Rolder LB #3069
Ernest Hausmann LB #1568
TJ Metcalf DB #151
SacksDerrick Moore EDGE #810
Jaishawn Barham EDGE #14
TJ Guy EDGE #42.5
InterceptionsCole Sullivan LB #183
TJ Guy EDGE #41
Rod Moore S #11

Ohio State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJulian Sayin QB #10279/356, 3323 YDS, 31 TD, 6 INT
Lincoln Kienholz QB #311/14, 139 YDS, 1 TD
RushingBo Jackson RB #25168 CAR, 1035 YDS, 5 TD
James Peoples RB #161 CAR, 344 YDS, 3 TD
CJ Donaldson RB #1289 CAR, 330 YDS, 10 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith WR #480 REC, 1086 YDS, 11 TD
Carnell Tate WR #1748 REC, 838 YDS, 9 TD
Max Klare TE #8643 REC, 448 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon Inniss WR #132 REC, 237 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesSonny Styles LB #081
Arvell Reese LB #862
Caden Curry EDGE #9260
SacksCaden Curry EDGE #9211
Arvell Reese LB #86.5
Kenyatta Jackson Jr. DE #26.5
InterceptionsDavison Igbinosun CB #12
Caleb Downs S #22
Jermaine Mathews Jr. CB #72
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.