Wk 3 · 2026

NC State Wolfpack at Vanderbilt Commodores — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN · SEC Network

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.

NC State Wolfpack

ACC · 0-1

12:45pET

no line posted yet

Ratings differential VAN by 14.4

Vanderbilt Commodores

SEC · no games yet

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

NC State: -0.1#67

Efficiency margin

Vanderbilt: +11.9#12

NC State: 26.6

Offense (pts/100)

Vanderbilt: 36.4

NC State: 26.8

Defense (pts/100)

Vanderbilt: 24.5

NC State: -1649.0

Pace (plays/g)

Vanderbilt: 65.5

NC State: 3.29

Yards / play

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: 6.07

Yards / play allowed

Vanderbilt: no data

Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

NC State: 8.0

Points / game

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: 34.0

Points allowed

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: 168

Yards / game

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: no data

Yards allowed

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: no data

Pass yds allowed

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: no data

Rush yds allowed

Vanderbilt: no data

NC State: 2.00

Turnovers / game

Vanderbilt: no data

From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

NC State form

L 8-34at UVA

2026 season

Vanderbilt form

No completed games on record.

NC State this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Vanderbilt this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.

Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · NC State won the last one

2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.0 points toward NC State

Yr	Date	Result	Site	Won
2016	2016-12-26	NC State 41 — 17 Vanderbilt	neutral	NC State bowl/CFP
2012	2012-12-31	NC State 24 — 38 Vanderbilt	neutral	Vanderbilt bowl/CFP

NC State leaders 2025 regular season

Passing	CJ Bailey QB #11	259/372, 2884 YDS, 23 TD, 9 INT
	Teddy Hoffmann WR #12	1/1, 59 YDS, 1 TD
Rushing	Hollywood Smothers RB #2	160 CAR, 939 YDS, 6 TD
	Jayden Scott RB #1	87 CAR, 487 YDS, 4 TD
	CJ Bailey QB #11	82 CAR, 215 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving	Terrell Anderson WR #9	38 REC, 637 YDS, 5 TD
	Justin Joly TE #7	47 REC, 468 YDS, 7 TD
	Noah Rogers WR #5	31 REC, 404 YDS, 2 TD
	Wesley Grimes WR #6	26 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD

Defense

Tackles	Caden Fordham LB #10	130
	Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #23	68
	Asaad Brown Jr. CB #6	57
Sacks	Travali Price DE #13	3.5
	Caden Fordham LB #10	3.5
	Tra Thomas LB #4	3
Interceptions	Devon Marshall CB #6	2
	Caden Fordham LB #10	1
	Isaiah Shirley DT #88	1

full roster and per-player history

Vanderbilt leaders 2025 regular season

Passing	Diego Pavia QB #2	242/340, 3192 YDS, 27 TD, 8 INT
	Blaze Berlowitz QB #1	9/17, 131 YDS, 1 TD
Rushing	Diego Pavia QB #2	152 CAR, 826 YDS, 9 TD
	Sedrick Alexander RB #28	102 CAR, 560 YDS, 11 TD
	Makhilyn Young RB #22	45 CAR, 410 YDS, 6 TD
Receiving	Eli Stowers TE #9	62 REC, 769 YDS, 4 TD
	Tre Richardson WR #0	40 REC, 679 YDS, 6 TD
	Junior Sherrill WR #0	46 REC, 661 YDS, 7 TD
	Richie Hoskins WR #5	26 REC, 305 YDS, 3 TD

Defense

Tackles	Bryan Longwell LB #11	67
	CJ Heard S #8	64
	Langston Patterson LB #10	61
Sacks	Miles Capers EDGE #29	4.5
	Zaylin Wood DL #15	4
	Khordae Sydnor DT #96	3.5
Interceptions	Martel Hight CB #4	3
	Zaylin Wood DL #15	1
	Kolbey Taylor CB #3	1

full roster and per-player history

These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.