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Wk 2 · 2026

New Mexico State Aggies at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI · MW+

Weather

86° / 73° drizzle
25% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential HAW by 9.3
Mountain West · 0-1

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

New Mexico St: -9.1#118
Efficiency margin
Hawai'i: -2.2#81
New Mexico St: 20.7
Offense (pts/100)
Hawai'i: 27.3
New Mexico St: 29.8
Defense (pts/100)
Hawai'i: 29.5
New Mexico St: 66.0
Pace (plays/g)
Hawai'i: 374.0
New Mexico St: 4.83
Yards / play
Hawai'i: 4.35
New Mexico St: 6.35
Yards / play allowed
Hawai'i: 6.80
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

New Mexico St: 17.0
Points / game
Hawai'i: 27.0
New Mexico St: 34.0
Points allowed
Hawai'i: 37.0
New Mexico St: 319
Yards / game
Hawai'i: 322
New Mexico St: no data
Yards allowed
Hawai'i: no data
New Mexico St: no data
Pass yds allowed
Hawai'i: no data
New Mexico St: no data
Rush yds allowed
Hawai'i: no data
New Mexico St: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Hawai'i: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

New Mexico St form

L 17-34at FSU
2026 season

Hawai'i form

L 27-37at STAN
2026 season

New Mexico St this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Hawai'i this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentNew Mexico StHawai'i
New Mexico
Mountain West
vs Wk 4 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Hawai'i leads 9–1 · Hawai'i won the last one
10 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 15.0 points toward Hawai'i
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-09-23New Mexico St 1720 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20222022-09-24Hawai'i 2645 New Mexico Stat NMSUNew Mexico St
20212021-10-23New Mexico St 3448 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20212021-09-25Hawai'i 4121 New Mexico Stat NMSUHawai'i
20112011-10-23New Mexico St 3445 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20102010-11-27Hawai'i 5924 New Mexico Stat NMSUHawai'i
20092009-11-14New Mexico St 624 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20082008-11-08Hawai'i 4230 New Mexico Stat NMSUHawai'i
20072007-10-28New Mexico St 1350 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20062006-10-21Hawai'i 4930 New Mexico Stat NMSUHawai'i

New Mexico St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingLogan Fife QB #4204/362, 2240 YDS, 11 TD, 12 INT
Adam Damante QB #1470/104, 711 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
RushingKadarius Calloway RB #1115 CAR, 438 YDS, 3 TD
Dijon Stanley RB #875 CAR, 308 YDS, 2 TD
Isaiah Rudison RB #2142 CAR, 158 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDonovan Faupel WR #861 REC, 661 YDS, 7 TD
TK King WR #141 REC, 588 YDS, 3 TD
Gavin Harris TE #836 REC, 514 YDS, 1 TD
PJ Johnson III WR #027 REC, 335 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesNaeten Mitchell DB #493
Tory Gethers LB #687
Sone Aupiu LB #1468
SacksEzra Christensen DL #906
Jamall Thompson Jr. DE #65
Tory Gethers LB #63
InterceptionsBernock Iya S #94
Naeten Mitchell DB #43
Jamall Thompson Jr. DE #62

Hawai'i leaders 2025 regular season

PassingMicah Alejado QB #12253/384, 2832 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Luke Weaver QB #361/102, 600 YDS, 5 TD, 3 INT
RushingLandon Sims RB #30113 CAR, 523 YDS, 3 TD
Cam Barfield RB #075 CAR, 361 YDS, 4 TD
Christian Vaughn RB #4717 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingJackson Harris WR #449 REC, 963 YDS, 12 TD
Pofele Ashlock WR #562 REC, 704 YDS, 6 TD
Brandon White WR #837 REC, 382 YDS, 1 TD
Karsyn Pupunu WR #1130 REC, 256 YDS
Defense
TacklesPeter Manuma DB #172
Jamih Otis LB #1159
Jalen Smith LB #356
SacksJackie Johnson III DL #577.5
De'Jon Benton DL #795.5
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina DL #512.5
InterceptionsKilinahe Mendiola-Jensen DB #82
Elijah Palmer DB #42
Giovanni Iovino LB #171
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.