Wk 3 · 2026
North Texas Mean Green at Texas State Bobcats — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX
· USA Net
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · no games yet
at
12:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNT by 7.7
Pac-12 · no games yet
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
North Texas form
No completed games on record.
Texas St form
No completed games on record.
North Texas this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Texas St this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 1
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Texas St leads 1–0 · Texas St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
2.0 points toward Texas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2025-01-03 | North Texas 28 — 30 Texas St | neutral | Texas St bowl/CFP |
North Texas leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Drew Mestemaker QB #17 | 292/416, 4129 YDS, 31 TD, 7 INT |
| Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #12 | 1/2, 37 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Caleb Hawkins RB #24 | 200 CAR, 1236 YDS, 23 TD |
| Makenzie McGill II RB #0 | 75 CAR, 389 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Kiefer Sibley RB #21 | 45 CAR, 274 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Wyatt Young WR #10 | 63 REC, 1209 YDS, 10 TD |
| Cameron Dorner WR #4 | 50 REC, 845 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Miles Coleman WR #1 | 46 REC, 536 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Landon Sides WR #7 | 29 REC, 400 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Ethan Wesloski LB #32 | 104 |
| Trey Fields LB #6 | 100 | |
| Patrick Smith-Young S #2 | 71 | |
| Sacks | Keviyan Huddleston DE #11 | 5 |
| Ethan Day DE #8 | 4.5 | |
| Joshua Pierce LB #15 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Will Jones II S #0 | 2 |
| Da'Veawn Armstead CB #2 | 2 | |
| Kollin Lewis CB #8 | 2 |
Texas St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Brad Jackson QB #8 | 234/328, 3050 YDS, 18 TD, 7 INT |
| Keldric Luster QB #6 | 1/3, 14 YDS | |
| Rushing | Lincoln Pare RB #7 | 199 CAR, 1022 YDS, 11 TD |
| Brad Jackson QB #8 | 160 CAR, 692 YDS, 16 TD | |
| Greg Burrell RB #9 | 91 CAR, 590 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Beau Sparks WR #11 | 80 REC, 1113 YDS, 9 TD |
| Chris Dawn Jr. WR #1 | 54 REC, 931 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Lincoln Pare RB #7 | 36 REC, 306 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Kylen Evans WR #2 | 15 REC, 211 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Treylin Payne LB #29 | 102 |
| Ryan Nolan DB #7 | 75 | |
| Bobby Crosby S #1 | 61 | |
| Sacks | Kalil Alexander DE #2 | 4 |
| DonTerry Russell DL #5 | 3 | |
| Kenard Snyder DE #12 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Jaden Rios CB #9 | 3 |
| Khamari Terrell CB #13 | 1 | |
| Michael Boudoin III LB #3 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.