Wk 7 · 2026
Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines — Sat, Oct 17
Sat, Oct 17 ·
Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · no games yet
at
TBDET
MICH -6.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MICH by 1.5
Big Ten · no games yet
What is at stake
A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Penn State is ranked #18 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17). Michigan is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Penn State form
No completed games on record.
Michigan form
No completed games on record.
Penn State this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Michigan this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 2
| Opponent | Penn State | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Big Ten | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| Rutgers Big Ten | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Michigan leads 9–7 · Michigan has won the last 3
16 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.7 points toward Michigan
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-11-11 | Michigan 24 — 15 Penn State | at PSU | Michigan |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | Penn State 17 — 41 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2021 | 2021-11-13 | Michigan 21 — 17 Penn State | at PSU | Michigan |
| 2020 | 2020-11-28 | Penn State 27 — 17 Michigan | at MICH | Penn State |
| 2019 | 2019-10-19 | Michigan 21 — 28 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2018 | 2018-11-03 | Penn State 7 — 42 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2017 | 2017-10-21 | Michigan 13 — 42 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2016 | 2016-09-24 | Penn State 10 — 49 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2015 | 2015-11-21 | Michigan 28 — 16 Penn State | at PSU | Michigan |
| 2014 | 2014-10-11 | Penn State 13 — 18 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2013 | 2013-10-12 | Michigan 40 — 43 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2010 | 2010-10-30 | Michigan 31 — 41 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2009 | 2009-10-24 | Penn State 35 — 10 Michigan | at MICH | Penn State |
| 2008 | 2008-10-18 | Michigan 17 — 46 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2007 | 2007-09-22 | Penn State 9 — 14 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2006 | 2006-10-14 | Michigan 17 — 10 Penn State | at PSU | Michigan |
Penn State leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Drew Allar QB #15 | 103/159, 1100 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer QB #17 | 100/144, 1079 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Kaytron Allen RB #13 | 210 CAR, 1303 YDS, 15 TD |
| Nicholas Singleton RB #10 | 123 CAR, 549 YDS, 13 TD | |
| Drew Allar QB #15 | 36 CAR, 172 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Trebor Pena WR #8 | 44 REC, 452 YDS, 1 TD |
| Devonte Ross WR #5 | 28 REC, 417 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Kyron Hudson WR #11 | 23 REC, 288 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Luke Reynolds TE #85 | 24 REC, 229 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Amare Campbell LB #0 | 96 |
| Zakee Wheatley S #6 | 74 | |
| Dominic DeLuca LB #0 | 63 | |
| Sacks | Dani Dennis-Sutton EDGE #33 | 6.5 |
| Zane Durant DT #28 | 4 | |
| Amare Campbell LB #0 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Alonzo Ford Jr. DT #50 | 1 |
| Zakee Wheatley S #6 | 1 | |
| Zane Durant DT #28 | 1 |
Michigan leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Bryce Underwood QB #19 | 179/293, 2229 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT |
| Donaven McCulley WR #1 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jordan Marshall RB #23 | 150 CAR, 932 YDS, 10 TD |
| Justice Haynes RB #22 | 121 CAR, 857 YDS, 10 TD | |
| Bryce Underwood QB #19 | 74 CAR, 323 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Andrew Marsh WR #3 | 42 REC, 641 YDS, 3 TD |
| Donaven McCulley WR #1 | 35 REC, 534 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Semaj Morgan WR #4 | 19 REC, 214 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Marlin Klein TE #17 | 20 REC, 209 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jimmy Rolder LB #30 | 69 |
| Ernest Hausmann LB #15 | 68 | |
| TJ Metcalf DB #1 | 51 | |
| Sacks | Derrick Moore EDGE #8 | 10 |
| Jaishawn Barham EDGE #1 | 4 | |
| TJ Guy EDGE #4 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Cole Sullivan LB #18 | 3 |
| TJ Guy EDGE #4 | 1 | |
| Rod Moore S #1 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.