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Wk 4 · 2026

San Diego State Aztecs at Toledo Rockets — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TOL by 5.2
MAC · no games yet

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

San Diego St: +4.7#37
Efficiency margin
Toledo: +7.5#27
San Diego St: 25.0
Offense (pts/100)
Toledo: 27.5
San Diego St: 20.3
Defense (pts/100)
Toledo: 20.0
San Diego St: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Toledo: 65.5
San Diego St: no data
Yards / play
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Yards / play allowed
Toledo: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

San Diego St: no data
Points / game
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Points allowed
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Yards / game
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Yards allowed
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Pass yds allowed
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Rush yds allowed
Toledo: no data
San Diego St: no data
Turnovers / game
Toledo: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

San Diego St form

No completed games on record.

Toledo form

No completed games on record.

San Diego St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Toledo this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, San Diego St leads 1–0 · San Diego St won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.0 points toward San Diego St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20222022-09-24Toledo 1417 San Diego Stat SDSUSan Diego St

San Diego St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJayden Denegal QB #4143/243, 1807 YDS, 9 TD, 8 INT
Bert Emanuel Jr. WR #55/9, 37 YDS
RushingLucky Sutton RB #7239 CAR, 1237 YDS, 10 TD
Christian Washington RB #2088 CAR, 486 YDS, 3 TD
Byron Cardwell Jr. RB #2147 CAR, 261 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJordan Napier WR #248 REC, 629 YDS, 2 TD
Donovan Brown WR #1430 REC, 475 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Bostick WR #1711 REC, 157 YDS, 3 TD
Nathan Acevedo WR #1312 REC, 129 YDS
Defense
TacklesOwen Chambliss LB #33105
Dalesean Staley S #963
Chris Johnson CB #148
SacksRyan Henderson DE #177
Trey White LB #27
Niles King EDGE #446.5
InterceptionsChris Johnson CB #14
Dwayne McDougle III S #263
Deshawn McCuin S #171

Toledo leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTucker Gleason QB #4207/320, 2515 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Kalieb Osborne QB #715/24, 260 YDS, 2 TD
RushingChip Trayanum RB #1166 CAR, 950 YDS, 11 TD
Kenji Christian RB #399 CAR, 501 YDS, 4 TD
Kalieb Osborne QB #733 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Vandeross III WR #275 REC, 947 YDS, 11 TD
Trayvon Rudolph WR #938 REC, 423 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Petersen TE #8922 REC, 275 YDS, 2 TD
Chip Trayanum RB #119 REC, 207 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesK'Von Sherman LB #085
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #773
Chris D'Appolonia LB #668
SacksMartez Poynter DT #85.5
Malachi Davis DL #115.5
K'Von Sherman LB #04.5
InterceptionsBraden Awls S #25
Nasir Bowers CB #02
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #72
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.