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Wk 10 · 2026

South Florida Bulls at East Carolina Pirates — Fri, Nov 6

Fri, Nov 6 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC · ESPN2

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 68 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · no games yet
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USF by 2.7
American · no games yet

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

South Florida: +10.7#17
Efficiency margin
East Carolina: +5.6#33
South Florida: 34.9
Offense (pts/100)
East Carolina: 28.4
South Florida: 24.3
Defense (pts/100)
East Carolina: 22.8
South Florida: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
East Carolina: 65.5
South Florida: no data
Yards / play
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Yards / play allowed
East Carolina: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

South Florida: no data
Points / game
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Points allowed
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Yards / game
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Yards allowed
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Pass yds allowed
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Rush yds allowed
East Carolina: no data
South Florida: no data
Turnovers / game
East Carolina: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

South Florida form

No completed games on record.

East Carolina form

No completed games on record.

South Florida this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

East Carolina this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentSouth FloridaEast Carolina
Army
American
at Wk 2 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Temple
American
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
UAB
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Memphis
American
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
FAU
American
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, South Florida leads 6–4 · East Carolina has won the last 3
10 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.4 points toward South Florida
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20222022-10-01East Carolina 4828 South FloridaneutralEast Carolina
20212021-10-28South Florida 1429 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20202020-10-10East Carolina 4424 South Floridaat USFEast Carolina
20192019-10-26South Florida 4520 East Carolinaat ECUSouth Florida
20182018-09-22East Carolina 1320 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20172017-09-30South Florida 6131 East Carolinaat ECUSouth Florida
20162016-10-08East Carolina 2238 South Floridaat USFSouth Florida
20152015-11-07South Florida 2217 East Carolinaat ECUSouth Florida
20142014-10-11East Carolina 2817 South Floridaat USFEast Carolina
20062006-12-23South Florida 247 East CarolinaneutralSouth Florida bowl/CFP

South Florida leaders 2025 regular season

PassingByrum Brown QB #17226/341, 3158 YDS, 28 TD, 7 INT
Gaston Moore QB #314/20, 54 YDS, 1 TD
RushingByrum Brown QB #17175 CAR, 1008 YDS, 14 TD
Nykahi Davenport RB #2491 CAR, 603 YDS, 7 TD
Sam Franklin RB #470 CAR, 445 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingKeshaun Singleton WR #1150 REC, 877 YDS, 8 TD
Jeremiah Koger WR #434 REC, 529 YDS, 7 TD
Mudia Reuben WR #636 REC, 495 YDS, 5 TD
Chas Nimrod WR #523 REC, 466 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesMac Harris LB #24100
Jhalyn Shuler LB #795
Tavin Ward S #260
SacksMac Harris LB #246
Jarvis Lee S #13
Ira Singleton DE #92.5
InterceptionsMac Harris LB #242
Jarvis Lee S #12
Fred Gaskin III S #232

East Carolina leaders 2025 regular season

PassingKatin Houser QB #4269/408, 3300 YDS, 19 TD, 6 INT
Chaston Ditta QB #94/7, 38 YDS, 1 TD
RushingLondon Montgomery RB #24156 CAR, 742 YDS, 7 TD
Marlon Gunn Jr. RB #2194 CAR, 532 YDS, 6 TD
TJ Engleman Jr. RB #453 CAR, 282 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingAnthony Smith WR #960 REC, 897 YDS, 5 TD
Yannick Smith WR #344 REC, 583 YDS, 5 TD
Brock Spalding WR #1041 REC, 554 YDS, 3 TD
Desirrio Riles TE #628 REC, 362 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesJa'Marley Riddle S #1270
DJ Johnson Jr. LB #1154
Samuel Dankah DL #751
SacksZion Wilson DL #547
Jasiyah Robinson DL #03.5
Rion Roseborough DL #882.5
InterceptionsJa'Marley Riddle S #123
Teagan Wilk DB #32
TyMir Brown DB #241
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.