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Wk 9 · 2026

Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID · CW

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 62 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · no games yet
at
10:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential BOIS by 5.4
Pac-12 · no games yet

What is at stake

A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Texas St: +1.0#61
Efficiency margin
Boise St: +4.0#40
Texas St: 32.3
Offense (pts/100)
Boise St: 27.9
Texas St: 31.3
Defense (pts/100)
Boise St: 23.9
Texas St: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Boise St: 65.5
Texas St: no data
Yards / play
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Yards / play allowed
Boise St: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Texas St: no data
Points / game
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Points allowed
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Yards / game
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Yards allowed
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Pass yds allowed
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Rush yds allowed
Boise St: no data
Texas St: no data
Turnovers / game
Boise St: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Texas St form

No completed games on record.

Boise St form

No completed games on record.

Texas St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Boise St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentTexas StBoise St
San Diego St
Pac-12
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Colorado St
Pac-12
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Utah State
Pac-12
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Oregon St
Pac-12
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Fresno St
Pac-12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Washington St
Pac-12
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Texas St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBrad Jackson QB #8234/328, 3050 YDS, 18 TD, 7 INT
Keldric Luster QB #61/3, 14 YDS
RushingLincoln Pare RB #7199 CAR, 1022 YDS, 11 TD
Brad Jackson QB #8160 CAR, 692 YDS, 16 TD
Greg Burrell RB #991 CAR, 590 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingBeau Sparks WR #1180 REC, 1113 YDS, 9 TD
Chris Dawn Jr. WR #154 REC, 931 YDS, 2 TD
Lincoln Pare RB #736 REC, 306 YDS, 2 TD
Kylen Evans WR #215 REC, 211 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesTreylin Payne LB #29102
Ryan Nolan DB #775
Bobby Crosby S #161
SacksKalil Alexander DE #24
DonTerry Russell DL #53
Kenard Snyder DE #123
InterceptionsJaden Rios CB #93
Khamari Terrell CB #131
Michael Boudoin III LB #31

Boise St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingMaddux Madsen QB #4169/286, 2283 YDS, 18 TD, 7 INT
Max Cutforth QB #1480/140, 857 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
RushingDylan Riley RB #0185 CAR, 1091 YDS, 10 TD
Sire Gaines RB #26153 CAR, 795 YDS, 8 TD
Malik Sherrod RB #2381 CAR, 406 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingLatrell Caples WR #346 REC, 547 YDS, 3 TD
Chris Marshall WR #625 REC, 477 YDS, 2 TD
Chase Penry WR #1327 REC, 363 YDS, 1 TD
Ben Ford WR #8221 REC, 325 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesTy Benefield S #298
Marco Notarainni LB #5369
Boen Phelps LB #161
SacksBraxton Fely DL #905.5
Jayden Virgin-Morgan LB #54
Marco Notarainni LB #532.5
InterceptionsJeremiah Earby DB #64
A'Marion McCoy DB #74
Ty Benefield S #22
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.