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Wk 1 · 2026

Texas State Bobcats at Texas Longhorns — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX · ESPN

Weather at kickoff

96°F clear
7% chance of precipitation · wind 5 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Pac-12 · no games yet
at
3:30pET
TEX -30.5 · total 59.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TEX by 10.8
SEC · no games yet

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Texas is ranked #5 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Texas St: +1.0#61
Efficiency margin
Texas: +9.4#23
Texas St: 32.3
Offense (pts/100)
Texas: 30.1
Texas St: 31.3
Defense (pts/100)
Texas: 20.7
Texas St: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Texas: 65.5
Texas St: no data
Yards / play
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Yards / play allowed
Texas: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Texas St: no data
Points / game
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Points allowed
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Yards / game
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Yards allowed
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Pass yds allowed
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Rush yds allowed
Texas: no data
Texas St: no data
Turnovers / game
Texas: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Texas St form

No completed games on record.

Texas form

No completed games on record.

Texas St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Texas this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentTexas StTexas
UTSA
American
vs Wk 2 · scheduled previewvs Wk 3 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Texas St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBrad Jackson QB #8234/328, 3050 YDS, 18 TD, 7 INT
Keldric Luster QB #61/3, 14 YDS
RushingLincoln Pare RB #7199 CAR, 1022 YDS, 11 TD
Brad Jackson QB #8160 CAR, 692 YDS, 16 TD
Greg Burrell RB #991 CAR, 590 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingBeau Sparks WR #1180 REC, 1113 YDS, 9 TD
Chris Dawn Jr. WR #154 REC, 931 YDS, 2 TD
Lincoln Pare RB #736 REC, 306 YDS, 2 TD
Kylen Evans WR #215 REC, 211 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesTreylin Payne LB #29102
Ryan Nolan DB #775
Bobby Crosby S #161
SacksKalil Alexander DE #24
DonTerry Russell DL #53
Kenard Snyder DE #123
InterceptionsJaden Rios CB #93
Khamari Terrell CB #131
Michael Boudoin III LB #31

Texas leaders 2025 regular season

PassingArch Manning QB #16227/370, 2942 YDS, 24 TD, 7 INT
Matthew Caldwell QB #188/11, 85 YDS, 1 TD
RushingQuintrevion Wisner RB #5131 CAR, 597 YDS, 3 TD
Arch Manning QB #1683 CAR, 244 YDS, 8 TD
CJ Baxter RB #154 CAR, 196 YDS
ReceivingRyan Wingo WR #150 REC, 770 YDS, 7 TD
DeAndre Moore Jr. WR #338 REC, 532 YDS, 4 TD
Parker Livingstone WR #326 REC, 491 YDS, 6 TD
Emmett Mosley V WR #323 REC, 357 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJelani McDonald DB #473
Anthony Hill Jr. LB #070
Michael Taaffe S #1670
SacksColin Simmons EDGE #111
Anthony Hill Jr. LB #04
Trey Moore EDGE #83
InterceptionsJelani McDonald DB #43
Anthony Hill Jr. LB #02
Malik Muhammad CB #52
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.