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Wk 5 · 2026

UCF Knights at Houston Cougars — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential HOU by 8.2
Big 12 · no games yet

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Houston is ranked #23 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UCF: -3.5#86
Efficiency margin
Houston: +2.3#52
UCF: 21.7
Offense (pts/100)
Houston: 28.6
UCF: 25.2
Defense (pts/100)
Houston: 26.3
UCF: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Houston: 65.5
UCF: no data
Yards / play
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Yards / play allowed
Houston: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UCF: no data
Points / game
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Points allowed
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Yards / game
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Yards allowed
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Pass yds allowed
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Rush yds allowed
Houston: no data
UCF: no data
Turnovers / game
Houston: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UCF form

No completed games on record.

Houston form

No completed games on record.

UCF this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Houston this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentUCFHouston
Oklahoma St
Big 12
at Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Baylor
Big 12
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Colorado
Big 12
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, UCF leads 7–4 · Houston won the last one
11 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.5 points toward Houston
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-07Houston 3027 UCFat UCFHouston
20232023-11-25Houston 1327 UCFat UCFUCF
20202020-10-31UCF 4421 Houstonat HOUUCF
20192019-11-02Houston 2944 UCFat UCFUCF
20162016-10-29UCF 2431 Houstonat HOUHouston
20152015-10-24Houston 5910 UCFat UCFHouston
20142014-10-02UCF 1712 Houstonat HOUUCF
20132013-11-09Houston 1419 UCFat UCFUCF
20102010-11-05UCF 4033 Houstonat HOUUCF
20092009-11-14Houston 3237 UCFat UCFUCF
20062006-10-28UCF 3151 Houstonat HOUHouston

UCF leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTayven Jackson QB #2200/315, 2151 YDS, 10 TD, 8 INT
Cam Fancher QB #241/72, 333 YDS
RushingMyles Montgomery RB #22143 CAR, 705 YDS, 4 TD
Jaden Nixon RB #571 CAR, 554 YDS, 7 TD
Cam Fancher QB #231 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingDuane Thomas Jr. WR #753 REC, 528 YDS
Dylan Wade TE #043 REC, 523 YDS, 5 TD
Waden Charles WR #926 REC, 290 YDS
DJ Black WR #8322 REC, 273 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesLewis Carter LB #2092
Cole Kozlowski LB #4382
Demari Henderson DB #861
SacksMalachi Lawrence EDGE #517
Nyjalik Kelly DE #93
Keli Lawson EDGE #02
InterceptionsPhillip Dunnam S #23
Braeden Marshall DB #42
Jayden Jennings LB #381

Houston leaders 2025 regular season

PassingConner Weigman QB #1204/319, 2475 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Zeon Chriss-Gremillion QB #910/21, 108 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingDean Connors RB #44184 CAR, 851 YDS, 5 TD
Conner Weigman QB #1158 CAR, 644 YDS, 11 TD
DJ Butler RB #2560 CAR, 280 YDS
ReceivingAmare Thomas WR #059 REC, 906 YDS, 10 TD
Tanner Koziol TE #965 REC, 651 YDS, 5 TD
Stephon Johnson WR #513 REC, 275 YDS, 2 TD
Dean Connors RB #4431 REC, 242 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJalen Garner LB #3675
Kentrell Webb DB #870
Carlos Allen Jr. DT #568
SacksEddie Walls III DE #905.5
Brandon Mack II LB #45
Corey Platt Jr. LB #93
InterceptionsWill James DB #53
Wrook Brown DB #242
Marc Stampley II DB #222
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.