Wk 1 · 2026
UL Monroe Warhawks at Mississippi State Bulldogs — Sat, Sep 5
Sat, Sep 5 ·
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
· ESPNU
Sun Belt · no games yet
at
7:30pET
MSST -28.5 · total 56.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MSST by 17.2
SEC · no games yet
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
UL Monroe form
No completed games on record.
Mississippi St form
No completed games on record.
UL Monroe this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Mississippi St this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
UL Monroe leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Aidan Armenta QB #10 | 148/253, 1629 YDS, 12 TD, 8 INT |
| Landon Graves QB #9 | 19/40, 185 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Zach Palmer-Smith RB #6 | 115 CAR, 660 YDS, 4 TD |
| Bam McReynolds RB #3 | 123 CAR, 606 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Dorian Lewis RB #28 | 27 CAR, 195 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jonathan Bibbs WR #3 | 26 REC, 383 YDS, 3 TD |
| Nic Trujillo WR #7 | 23 REC, 368 YDS, 4 TD | |
| JP Coulter WR #4 | 21 REC, 234 YDS | |
| Jake Godfrey WR #2 | 16 REC, 191 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Noah Flemmings LB #3 | 80 |
| Jabari Tiller DB #1 | 45 | |
| Seidrion Langston LB #16 | 37 | |
| Sacks | D'Arco Perkins-McAllister DB #4 | 4 |
| Dylan Howell DL #41 | 4 | |
| Noah Flemmings LB #3 | 3.5 | |
| Interceptions | David Godsey Jr. DB #13 | 2 |
| Lynard Harris DB #21 | 1 | |
| Cliff Mosley DL #45 | 1 |
Mississippi St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Blake Shapen QB #2 | 195/303, 2433 YDS, 15 TD, 8 INT |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 30/55, 388 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Fluff Bothwell RB #24 | 128 CAR, 639 YDS, 6 TD |
| Davon Booth RB #6 | 136 CAR, 553 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 64 CAR, 395 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Receiving | Brenen Thompson WR #0 | 53 REC, 948 YDS, 6 TD |
| Anthony Evans III WR #3 | 63 REC, 751 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Seydou Traore TE #8 | 34 REC, 358 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Ayden Williams WR #11 | 19 REC, 222 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jahron Manning S #13 | 85 |
| Nic Mitchell LB #40 | 72 | |
| Brylan Lanier S #3 | 65 | |
| Sacks | Nic Mitchell LB #40 | 2.5 |
| Will Whitson DL #43 | 2 | |
| Kalvin Dinkins DL #35 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Brylan Lanier S #3 | 3 |
| Kelley Jones CB #1 | 2 | |
| Hunter Washington S #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.