Wk 1 · 2026
Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan Wolverines — Sat, Sep 5
Sat, Sep 5 ·
Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
· NBC
Weather at kickoff
69°F partly cloudy
12% chance of precipitation · wind 9 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
MAC · no games yet
at
7:30pET
MICH -27.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings opened -28.5 · 1 toward WMU
Ratings differential MICH by 9.5
Big Ten · no games yet
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Michigan is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
W Michigan form
No completed games on record.
Michigan form
No completed games on record.
W Michigan this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Michigan this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Michigan leads 4–0 · Michigan has won the last 4
4 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
31.8 points toward Michigan
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2021-09-04 | W Michigan 14 — 47 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2018 | 2018-09-08 | W Michigan 3 — 49 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2011 | 2011-09-03 | W Michigan 10 — 34 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
| 2009 | 2009-09-05 | W Michigan 7 — 31 Michigan | at MICH | Michigan |
W Michigan leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Broc Lowry QB #12 | 154/243, 1683 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Brady Jones QB #10 | 19/40, 136 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Broc Lowry QB #12 | 197 CAR, 940 YDS, 14 TD |
| Jalen Buckley RB #6 | 171 CAR, 829 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Devin Miles RB #5 | 80 CAR, 357 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Talique Williams WR #0 | 35 REC, 478 YDS, 2 TD |
| Baylin Brooks WR #7 | 25 REC, 356 YDS | |
| Aveion Chenault WR #2 | 22 REC, 271 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Blake Bosma TE #86 | 21 REC, 201 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | James Camden LB #9 | 74 |
| Sefa Saipaia Jr. LB #10 | 70 | |
| Tate Hallock S #3 | 59 | |
| Sacks | Nadame Tucker EDGE #11 | 14.5 |
| Rodney McGraw DL #99 | 4.5 | |
| Kershawn Fisher DE #20 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Tate Hallock S #3 | 2 |
| Joey Pope S #6 | 2 | |
| Aaron Wofford S #5 | 1 |
Michigan leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Bryce Underwood QB #19 | 179/293, 2229 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT |
| Donaven McCulley WR #1 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jordan Marshall RB #23 | 150 CAR, 932 YDS, 10 TD |
| Justice Haynes RB #22 | 121 CAR, 857 YDS, 10 TD | |
| Bryce Underwood QB #19 | 74 CAR, 323 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Andrew Marsh WR #3 | 42 REC, 641 YDS, 3 TD |
| Donaven McCulley WR #1 | 35 REC, 534 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Semaj Morgan WR #4 | 19 REC, 214 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Marlin Klein TE #17 | 20 REC, 209 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jimmy Rolder LB #30 | 69 |
| Ernest Hausmann LB #15 | 68 | |
| TJ Metcalf DB #1 | 51 | |
| Sacks | Derrick Moore EDGE #8 | 10 |
| Jaishawn Barham EDGE #1 | 4 | |
| TJ Guy EDGE #4 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Cole Sullivan LB #18 | 3 |
| TJ Guy EDGE #4 | 1 | |
| Rod Moore S #1 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.