Wk 7 · 2026
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Southern Miss Golden Eagles — Sat, Oct 17
Sat, Oct 17 ·
M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USM by 4.7
Sun Belt · no games yet
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Arkansas St form
No completed games on record.
Southern Miss form
No completed games on record.
Arkansas St this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Southern Miss this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Arkansas St | Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Sun Belt | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| South Alabama Sun Belt | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| UL Monroe Sun Belt | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Troy Sun Belt | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Southern Miss leads 4–2 · Southern Miss won the last one
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.2 points toward Arkansas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-08 | Southern Miss 27 — 21 Arkansas St | at ARST | Southern Miss |
| 2024 | 2024-10-19 | Arkansas St 44 — 28 Southern Miss | at USM | Arkansas St |
| 2023 | 2023-09-23 | Southern Miss 37 — 44 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | Arkansas St 19 — 20 Southern Miss | at USM | Southern Miss |
| 2008 | 2008-09-13 | Southern Miss 27 — 24 Arkansas St | at ARST | Southern Miss |
| 2007 | 2007-11-24 | Arkansas St 10 — 16 Southern Miss | at USM | Southern Miss |
Arkansas St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 316/470, 3073 YDS, 16 TD, 11 INT |
| Josh Flowers QB #8 | 2/6, 13 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Devin Spencer RB #4 | 102 CAR, 523 YDS, 2 TD |
| Kenyon Clay RB #5 | 128 CAR, 470 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 151 CAR, 434 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Receiving | Corey Rucker WR #7 | 69 REC, 866 YDS, 3 TD |
| Chauncy Cobb WR #2 | 69 REC, 767 YDS | |
| Hunter Summers WR #3 | 43 REC, 466 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Tyler Fortenberry TE #19 | 31 REC, 279 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Aaron Alexander LB #7 | 88 |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 76 | |
| Kyle Taylor LB #20 | 74 | |
| Sacks | Ethan Hassler DL #32 | 6.5 |
| Demarcus Hendricks DE #10 | 6.5 | |
| Bryan Whitehead DE #4 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Avante Dickerson CB #9 | 2 |
| Aaron Alexander LB #7 | 1 | |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 1 |
Southern Miss leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Braylon Braxton QB #1 | 230/353, 2796 YDS, 23 TD, 7 INT |
| Landry Lyddy QB #18 | 34/52, 406 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Jeffery Pittman RB #0 | 146 CAR, 640 YDS, 8 TD |
| Matt Jones RB #5 | 78 CAR, 314 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Robert Briggs RB #2 | 57 CAR, 268 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Elijah Metcalf WR #9 | 52 REC, 677 YDS, 2 TD |
| Carl Chester WR #7 | 30 REC, 532 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Tychaun Chapman WR #1 | 22 REC, 398 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Micah Davis WR #6 | 28 REC, 393 YDS, 5 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Chris Jones LB #10 | 127 |
| Mike Montgomery LB #9 | 100 | |
| Corey Myrick S #22 | 82 | |
| Sacks | J'Mond Tapp DL #14 | 7.5 |
| Chris Jones LB #10 | 3.5 | |
| JJ Hawkins DL #5 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Josh Moten CB #1 | 5 |
| Ahmere Foster S #5 | 3 | |
| Ian Foster S #0 | 3 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.