Wk 10 · 2026
UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves — Sat, Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7 ·
Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 68 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · no games yet
at
3:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ARST by 11.7
Sun Belt · no games yet
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
UL Monroe form
No completed games on record.
Arkansas St form
No completed games on record.
UL Monroe this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Arkansas St this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | UL Monroe | Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Sun Belt | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Troy Sun Belt | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Sun Belt | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Arkansas St leads 17–3 · UL Monroe won the last one
20 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
12.3 points toward Arkansas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-27 | Arkansas St 16 — 28 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | UL Monroe 21 — 28 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2023 | 2023-10-28 | Arkansas St 34 — 24 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-01 | UL Monroe 28 — 45 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2021 | 2021-11-13 | Arkansas St 27 — 24 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2020 | 2020-12-05 | UL Monroe 15 — 48 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2019 | 2019-11-02 | Arkansas St 48 — 41 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2018 | 2018-11-17 | UL Monroe 17 — 31 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2017 | 2017-11-25 | Arkansas St 67 — 50 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2016 | 2016-10-29 | UL Monroe 10 — 51 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2015 | 2015-11-14 | Arkansas St 59 — 21 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2014 | 2014-10-04 | UL Monroe 14 — 28 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2013 | 2013-11-09 | Arkansas St 42 — 14 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2012 | 2012-11-08 | UL Monroe 23 — 45 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2011 | 2011-10-08 | Arkansas St 24 — 19 UL Monroe | at ULM | Arkansas St |
| 2010 | 2010-09-18 | UL Monroe 20 — 34 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2009 | 2009-10-13 | Arkansas St 10 — 16 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2008 | 2008-10-11 | UL Monroe 29 — 37 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2007 | 2007-10-06 | Arkansas St 13 — 30 UL Monroe | at ULM | UL Monroe |
| 2006 | 2006-10-07 | UL Monroe 6 — 10 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
UL Monroe leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Aidan Armenta QB #10 | 148/253, 1629 YDS, 12 TD, 8 INT |
| Landon Graves QB #9 | 19/40, 185 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Zach Palmer-Smith RB #6 | 115 CAR, 660 YDS, 4 TD |
| Bam McReynolds RB #3 | 123 CAR, 606 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Dorian Lewis RB #28 | 27 CAR, 195 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jonathan Bibbs WR #3 | 26 REC, 383 YDS, 3 TD |
| Nic Trujillo WR #7 | 23 REC, 368 YDS, 4 TD | |
| JP Coulter WR #4 | 21 REC, 234 YDS | |
| Jake Godfrey WR #2 | 16 REC, 191 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Noah Flemmings LB #3 | 80 |
| Jabari Tiller DB #1 | 45 | |
| Seidrion Langston LB #16 | 37 | |
| Sacks | D'Arco Perkins-McAllister DB #4 | 4 |
| Dylan Howell DL #41 | 4 | |
| Noah Flemmings LB #3 | 3.5 | |
| Interceptions | David Godsey Jr. DB #13 | 2 |
| Lynard Harris DB #21 | 1 | |
| Cliff Mosley DL #45 | 1 |
Arkansas St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 316/470, 3073 YDS, 16 TD, 11 INT |
| Josh Flowers QB #8 | 2/6, 13 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Devin Spencer RB #4 | 102 CAR, 523 YDS, 2 TD |
| Kenyon Clay RB #5 | 128 CAR, 470 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 151 CAR, 434 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Receiving | Corey Rucker WR #7 | 69 REC, 866 YDS, 3 TD |
| Chauncy Cobb WR #2 | 69 REC, 767 YDS | |
| Hunter Summers WR #3 | 43 REC, 466 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Tyler Fortenberry TE #19 | 31 REC, 279 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Aaron Alexander LB #7 | 88 |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 76 | |
| Kyle Taylor LB #20 | 74 | |
| Sacks | Ethan Hassler DL #32 | 6.5 |
| Demarcus Hendricks DE #10 | 6.5 | |
| Bryan Whitehead DE #4 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Avante Dickerson CB #9 | 2 |
| Aaron Alexander LB #7 | 1 | |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.