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Wk 7 · 2026

Ball State Cardinals at Bowling Green Falcons — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential BGSU by 7.8
MAC · no games yet

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Ball State: -13.5#130
Efficiency margin
Bowling Green: -8.1#111
Ball State: 17.0
Offense (pts/100)
Bowling Green: 19.9
Ball State: 30.5
Defense (pts/100)
Bowling Green: 28.1
Ball State: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Bowling Green: 65.5
Ball State: no data
Yards / play
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Yards / play allowed
Bowling Green: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Ball State: no data
Points / game
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Points allowed
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Yards / game
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Yards allowed
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Pass yds allowed
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Rush yds allowed
Bowling Green: no data
Ball State: no data
Turnovers / game
Bowling Green: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Ball State form

No completed games on record.

Bowling Green form

No completed games on record.

Ball State this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Bowling Green this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentBall StateBowling Green
Kent State
MAC
at Wk 4 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Toledo
MAC
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Sacramento St
MAC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
UMass
MAC
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Buffalo
MAC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Bowling Green leads 4–1 · Bowling Green has won the last 3
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 12.6 points toward Bowling Green
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-23Bowling Green 3813 Ball Stateat BALLBowling Green
20232023-11-01Ball State 2124 Bowling Greenat BGSUBowling Green
20152015-11-24Bowling Green 4810 Ball Stateat BALLBowling Green
20142014-11-28Ball State 4124 Bowling Greenat BGSUBall State
20092009-10-17Bowling Green 3117 Ball Stateat BALLBowling Green

Ball State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingKiael Kelly QB #1154/273, 1583 YDS, 11 TD, 8 INT
Ty Robinson WR #102/3, 77 YDS
RushingKiael Kelly QB #1211 CAR, 600 YDS, 5 TD
Qua Ashley RB #9118 CAR, 547 YDS, 4 TD
TJ Horton RB #460 CAR, 180 YDS
ReceivingQian Magwood WR #519 REC, 320 YDS, 1 TD
Donovan Hamilton WR #120 REC, 244 YDS
Eric Weatherly WR #329 REC, 238 YDS, 1 TD
Koby Gross TE #610 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesAlfred Chea LB #059
Joey Stemler LB #2154
Michael Gravely Jr. DB #253
SacksNathan Voorhis EDGE #4412
DeJuan Echoles Jr. DE #313
Drew Hughes DT #472
InterceptionsJoedrick Lewis DB #13
Eric McClain CB #92
Muheem McCargo DB #161

Bowling Green leaders 2025 regular season

PassingDrew Pyne QB #994/151, 882 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
Hunter Najm QB #1033/66, 473 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
RushingAustyn Dendy RB #1108 CAR, 493 YDS, 5 TD
Cameron Pettaway RB #072 CAR, 365 YDS
Chris McMillian RB #484 CAR, 342 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingJyrin Johnson TE #737 REC, 466 YDS, 2 TD
RJ Garcia II WR #627 REC, 283 YDS
Finn Hogan WR #1113 REC, 183 YDS
Jacob Harris TE #8919 REC, 182 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesGideon Lampron LB #44119
Kal-El Pascal S #080
MJ Cannon DB #257
SacksMyles Bradley DE #235
Eriq George DE #54
Gideon Lampron LB #442.5
InterceptionsMJ Cannon DB #22
JoJo Johnson CB #21
Dorian Pringle LB #31
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.