Wk 11 · 2026
Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals — Wed, Nov 11
Wed, Nov 11 ·
Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 72 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential BUF by 3.4
MAC · no games yet
What is at stake
A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Buffalo form
No completed games on record.
Ball State form
No completed games on record.
Buffalo this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Ball State this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Buffalo | Ball State |
|---|---|---|
| Toledo MAC | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| UMass MAC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Bowling Green MAC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| C Michigan MAC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Ball State leads 7–3 · Buffalo won the last one
10 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.5 points toward Ball State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-12 | Ball State 48 — 51 Buffalo | at BUF | Buffalo |
| 2021 | 2021-11-23 | Buffalo 3 — 20 Ball State | at BALL | Ball State |
| 2020 | 2020-12-18 | Ball State 38 — 28 Buffalo | neutral | Ball State |
| 2017 | 2017-11-16 | Buffalo 40 — 24 Ball State | at BALL | Buffalo |
| 2016 | 2016-10-15 | Ball State 31 — 21 Buffalo | at BUF | Ball State |
| 2011 | 2011-09-17 | Buffalo 25 — 28 Ball State | at BALL | Ball State |
| 2010 | 2010-11-12 | Ball State 20 — 3 Buffalo | at BUF | Ball State |
| 2008 | 2008-12-05 | Ball State 24 — 42 Buffalo | neutral | Buffalo |
| 2007 | 2007-09-29 | Buffalo 14 — 49 Ball State | at BALL | Ball State |
| 2006 | 2006-10-07 | Ball State 55 — 25 Buffalo | at BUF | Ball State |
Buffalo leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Ta'Quan Roberson QB #2 | 206/356, 2520 YDS, 17 TD, 12 INT |
| Gunnar Gray QB #9 | 29/53, 228 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Al-Jay Henderson RB #5 | 182 CAR, 755 YDS, 6 TD |
| Terrance Shelton Jr. RB #25 | 57 CAR, 244 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Lamar Sperling RB #32 | 39 CAR, 234 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Nik McMillan WR #5 | 62 REC, 981 YDS, 3 TD |
| Victor Snow WR #0 | 62 REC, 815 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Jasaiah Gathings WR #8 | 36 REC, 410 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Al-Jay Henderson RB #5 | 25 REC, 181 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Red Murdock LB #2 | 142 |
| Dion Crawford LB #18 | 79 | |
| Miles Greer S #6 | 74 | |
| Sacks | Junior Poyser DL #97 | 5.5 |
| Red Murdock LB #2 | 5 | |
| Malin White DE #12 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Jalen McNair S #18 | 2 |
| Mitchell Gonser LB #39 | 2 | |
| Solomon Brown CB #7 | 1 |
Ball State leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Kiael Kelly QB #1 | 154/273, 1583 YDS, 11 TD, 8 INT |
| Ty Robinson WR #10 | 2/3, 77 YDS | |
| Rushing | Kiael Kelly QB #1 | 211 CAR, 600 YDS, 5 TD |
| Qua Ashley RB #9 | 118 CAR, 547 YDS, 4 TD | |
| TJ Horton RB #4 | 60 CAR, 180 YDS | |
| Receiving | Qian Magwood WR #5 | 19 REC, 320 YDS, 1 TD |
| Donovan Hamilton WR #1 | 20 REC, 244 YDS | |
| Eric Weatherly WR #3 | 29 REC, 238 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Koby Gross TE #6 | 10 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Alfred Chea LB #0 | 59 |
| Joey Stemler LB #21 | 54 | |
| Michael Gravely Jr. DB #2 | 53 | |
| Sacks | Nathan Voorhis EDGE #44 | 12 |
| DeJuan Echoles Jr. DE #31 | 3 | |
| Drew Hughes DT #47 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Joedrick Lewis DB #1 | 3 |
| Eric McClain CB #9 | 2 | |
| Muheem McCargo DB #16 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.