Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TOL by 17.6
MAC · no games yet
What is at stake
A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Buffalo form
No completed games on record.
Toledo form
No completed games on record.
Buffalo this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Toledo this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Buffalo | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| W Michigan MAC | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| UMass MAC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Bowling Green MAC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Ball State MAC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Buffalo leads 5–3 · Buffalo won the last one
8 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.0 points toward Buffalo
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-10-12 | Toledo 15 — 30 Buffalo | at BUF | Buffalo |
| 2023 | 2023-10-31 | Buffalo 13 — 31 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2022 | 2022-10-22 | Toledo 27 — 34 Buffalo | at BUF | Buffalo |
| 2019 | 2019-11-20 | Toledo 30 — 49 Buffalo | at BUF | Buffalo |
| 2018 | 2018-10-20 | Buffalo 31 — 17 Toledo | at TOL | Buffalo |
| 2013 | 2013-11-12 | Buffalo 41 — 51 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2012 | 2012-10-27 | Toledo 25 — 20 Buffalo | at BUF | Toledo |
| 2007 | 2007-10-13 | Toledo 33 — 43 Buffalo | at BUF | Buffalo |
Buffalo leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Ta'Quan Roberson QB #2 | 206/356, 2520 YDS, 17 TD, 12 INT |
| Gunnar Gray QB #9 | 29/53, 228 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Al-Jay Henderson RB #5 | 182 CAR, 755 YDS, 6 TD |
| Terrance Shelton Jr. RB #25 | 57 CAR, 244 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Lamar Sperling RB #32 | 39 CAR, 234 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Nik McMillan WR #5 | 62 REC, 981 YDS, 3 TD |
| Victor Snow WR #0 | 62 REC, 815 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Jasaiah Gathings WR #8 | 36 REC, 410 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Al-Jay Henderson RB #5 | 25 REC, 181 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Red Murdock LB #2 | 142 |
| Dion Crawford LB #18 | 79 | |
| Miles Greer S #6 | 74 | |
| Sacks | Junior Poyser DL #97 | 5.5 |
| Red Murdock LB #2 | 5 | |
| Malin White DE #12 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Jalen McNair S #18 | 2 |
| Mitchell Gonser LB #39 | 2 | |
| Solomon Brown CB #7 | 1 |
Toledo leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Tucker Gleason QB #4 | 207/320, 2515 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT |
| Kalieb Osborne QB #7 | 15/24, 260 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Chip Trayanum RB #1 | 166 CAR, 950 YDS, 11 TD |
| Kenji Christian RB #3 | 99 CAR, 501 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Kalieb Osborne QB #7 | 33 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Junior Vandeross III WR #2 | 75 REC, 947 YDS, 11 TD |
| Trayvon Rudolph WR #9 | 38 REC, 423 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jacob Petersen TE #89 | 22 REC, 275 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Chip Trayanum RB #1 | 19 REC, 207 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | K'Von Sherman LB #0 | 85 |
| Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #7 | 73 | |
| Chris D'Appolonia LB #6 | 68 | |
| Sacks | Martez Poynter DT #8 | 5.5 |
| Malachi Davis DL #11 | 5.5 | |
| K'Von Sherman LB #0 | 4.5 | |
| Interceptions | Braden Awls S #2 | 5 |
| Nasir Bowers CB #0 | 2 | |
| Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #7 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.