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Wk 11 · 2026

Massachusetts Minutemen at Toledo Rockets — Wed, Nov 11

Wed, Nov 11 · Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 72 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TOL by 34.3
MAC · no games yet

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UMass: -24.4#136
Efficiency margin
Toledo: +7.5#27
UMass: 13.9
Offense (pts/100)
Toledo: 27.5
UMass: 38.3
Defense (pts/100)
Toledo: 20.0
UMass: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Toledo: 65.5
UMass: no data
Yards / play
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Yards / play allowed
Toledo: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UMass: no data
Points / game
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Points allowed
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Yards / game
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Yards allowed
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Pass yds allowed
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Rush yds allowed
Toledo: no data
UMass: no data
Turnovers / game
Toledo: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UMass form

No completed games on record.

Toledo form

No completed games on record.

UMass this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Toledo this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentUMassToledo
Sacramento St
MAC
at Wk 4 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
E Michigan
MAC
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Buffalo
MAC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Ball State
MAC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Bowling Green
MAC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Toledo leads 6–0 · Toledo has won the last 6
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 23.0 points toward Toledo
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-09-07UMass 2338 Toledoat TOLToledo
20232023-10-07Toledo 4124 UMassat MASSToledo
20222022-09-10UMass 1055 Toledoat TOLToledo
20212021-10-02Toledo 457 UMassat MASSToledo
20152015-10-24Toledo 5135 UMassat MASSToledo
20142014-10-25UMass 3542 Toledoat TOLToledo

UMass leaders 2025 regular season

PassingAJ Hairston QB #8107/216, 957 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT
Grant Jordan QB #963/110, 595 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
RushingBrandon Hood RB #2698 CAR, 368 YDS, 2 TD
Rocko Griffin RB #2453 CAR, 246 YDS, 2 TD
Elijah Faulkner RB #2340 CAR, 114 YDS
ReceivingJacquon Gibson WR #463 REC, 616 YDS
Donnie Gray WR #1227 REC, 260 YDS
Max Dowling TE #1120 REC, 199 YDS, 3 TD
Jake McConnachie WR #716 REC, 144 YDS
Defense
TacklesTyler Martin LB #5104
Derrieon Craig DL #081
Zeraun Daniel S #3875
SacksMarques White DE #165
David Onuoha DL #102.5
Timmy Hinspeter LB #442
InterceptionsDD Snyder S #11
Tyler Martin LB #51
Jeremiah McGill DB #21

Toledo leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTucker Gleason QB #4207/320, 2515 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Kalieb Osborne QB #715/24, 260 YDS, 2 TD
RushingChip Trayanum RB #1166 CAR, 950 YDS, 11 TD
Kenji Christian RB #399 CAR, 501 YDS, 4 TD
Kalieb Osborne QB #733 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Vandeross III WR #275 REC, 947 YDS, 11 TD
Trayvon Rudolph WR #938 REC, 423 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Petersen TE #8922 REC, 275 YDS, 2 TD
Chip Trayanum RB #119 REC, 207 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesK'Von Sherman LB #085
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #773
Chris D'Appolonia LB #668
SacksMartez Poynter DT #85.5
Malachi Davis DL #115.5
K'Von Sherman LB #04.5
InterceptionsBraden Awls S #25
Nasir Bowers CB #02
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #72
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.