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Wk 10 · 2026

Toledo Rockets at Sacramento State Hornets — Wed, Nov 4

Wed, Nov 4 · Hornet Stadium, Sacramento, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 65 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
No ratings differential: Sacramento St is not in the ratings file.

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Toledo: +7.5#27
Efficiency margin
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: 27.5
Offense (pts/100)
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: 20.0
Defense (pts/100)
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: no data
Yards / play
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: no data
Yards / play allowed
Sacramento St: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Toledo: no data
Points / game
Sacramento St: 17.0
Toledo: no data
Points allowed
Sacramento St: 28.0
Toledo: no data
Yards / game
Sacramento St: 271
Toledo: no data
Yards allowed
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: no data
Pass yds allowed
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: no data
Rush yds allowed
Sacramento St: no data
Toledo: no data
Turnovers / game
Sacramento St: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Toledo form

No completed games on record.

Sacramento St form

L 17-28at EMU
2026 season

Toledo this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Sacramento St this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentToledoSacramento St
Ball State
MAC
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
E Michigan
MAC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat L 17-28 preview
UMass
MAC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Bowling Green
MAC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Ohio
MAC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Toledo leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTucker Gleason QB #4207/320, 2515 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Kalieb Osborne QB #715/24, 260 YDS, 2 TD
RushingChip Trayanum RB #1166 CAR, 950 YDS, 11 TD
Kenji Christian RB #399 CAR, 501 YDS, 4 TD
Kalieb Osborne QB #733 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Vandeross III WR #275 REC, 947 YDS, 11 TD
Trayvon Rudolph WR #938 REC, 423 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Petersen TE #8922 REC, 275 YDS, 2 TD
Chip Trayanum RB #119 REC, 207 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesK'Von Sherman LB #085
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #773
Chris D'Appolonia LB #668
SacksMartez Poynter DT #85.5
Malachi Davis DL #115.5
K'Von Sherman LB #04.5
InterceptionsBraden Awls S #25
Nasir Bowers CB #02
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #72

Sacramento St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCardell Williams QB #6110/175, 1621 YDS, 10 TD, 7 INT
Jaden Rashada QB #817/42, 264 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingRodney Hammond Jr. RB #2188 CAR, 1214 YDS, 13 TD
Damian Henderson II RB #2691 CAR, 565 YDS, 5 TD
JaQuail Smith RB #2376 CAR, 511 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingErnest Campbell WR #437 REC, 755 YDS, 8 TD
Jordan Anderson WR #024 REC, 361 YDS
Jordan Williams TE #1611 REC, 170 YDS, 1 TD
Rodney Hammond Jr. RB #215 REC, 147 YDS
Defense
TacklesOscar Moore LB #569
Koa Akui S #365
Alex Rocha LB #3349
SacksDylan Hampsten DL #118
Jayland McGlothen DL #907
Xavier Williams DL #455.5
InterceptionsKoa Akui S #35
Jason Oliver CB #262
Lamont Johnson-Burrell CB #232
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.