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Wk 8 · 2026

Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo Rockets — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 54 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
MAC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TOL by 8.4
MAC · no games yet

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

W Michigan: +1.5#58
Efficiency margin
Toledo: +7.5#27
W Michigan: 22.6
Offense (pts/100)
Toledo: 27.5
W Michigan: 21.2
Defense (pts/100)
Toledo: 20.0
W Michigan: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Toledo: 65.5
W Michigan: no data
Yards / play
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Yards / play allowed
Toledo: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

W Michigan: no data
Points / game
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Points allowed
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Yards / game
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Yards allowed
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Pass yds allowed
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Rush yds allowed
Toledo: no data
W Michigan: no data
Turnovers / game
Toledo: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

W Michigan form

No completed games on record.

Toledo form

No completed games on record.

W Michigan this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Toledo this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentW MichiganToledo
Buffalo
MAC
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Bowling Green
MAC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
E Michigan
MAC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Toledo leads 10–9 · W Michigan won the last one
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.6 points toward Toledo
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-09-20Toledo 1314 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20232023-09-23W Michigan 3149 Toledoat TOLToledo
20222022-11-25Toledo 1420 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20212021-10-23W Michigan 1534 Toledoat TOLToledo
20202020-11-11Toledo 3841 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20192019-10-05W Michigan 2431 Toledoat TOLToledo
20182018-10-25Toledo 5124 W Michiganat WMUToledo
20172017-11-24W Michigan 1037 Toledoat TOLToledo
20162016-11-25Toledo 3555 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20152015-11-27W Michigan 3530 Toledoat TOLW Michigan
20142014-10-04Toledo 2019 W Michiganat WMUToledo
20132013-10-05W Michigan 2047 Toledoat TOLToledo
20122012-09-29Toledo 3717 W Michiganat WMUToledo
20112011-11-08W Michigan 6366 Toledoat TOLToledo
20102010-09-18Toledo 3724 W Michiganat WMUToledo
20092009-10-10W Michigan 5826 Toledoat TOLW Michigan
20082008-11-15Toledo 1727 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20072007-09-29W Michigan 4228 Toledoat TOLW Michigan
20062006-09-09Toledo 1031 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan

W Michigan leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBroc Lowry QB #12154/243, 1683 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
Brady Jones QB #1019/40, 136 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
RushingBroc Lowry QB #12197 CAR, 940 YDS, 14 TD
Jalen Buckley RB #6171 CAR, 829 YDS, 8 TD
Devin Miles RB #580 CAR, 357 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingTalique Williams WR #035 REC, 478 YDS, 2 TD
Baylin Brooks WR #725 REC, 356 YDS
Aveion Chenault WR #222 REC, 271 YDS, 2 TD
Blake Bosma TE #8621 REC, 201 YDS
Defense
TacklesJames Camden LB #974
Sefa Saipaia Jr. LB #1070
Tate Hallock S #359
SacksNadame Tucker EDGE #1114.5
Rodney McGraw DL #994.5
Kershawn Fisher DE #203
InterceptionsTate Hallock S #32
Joey Pope S #62
Aaron Wofford S #51

Toledo leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTucker Gleason QB #4207/320, 2515 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Kalieb Osborne QB #715/24, 260 YDS, 2 TD
RushingChip Trayanum RB #1166 CAR, 950 YDS, 11 TD
Kenji Christian RB #399 CAR, 501 YDS, 4 TD
Kalieb Osborne QB #733 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Vandeross III WR #275 REC, 947 YDS, 11 TD
Trayvon Rudolph WR #938 REC, 423 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Petersen TE #8922 REC, 275 YDS, 2 TD
Chip Trayanum RB #119 REC, 207 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesK'Von Sherman LB #085
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #773
Chris D'Appolonia LB #668
SacksMartez Poynter DT #85.5
Malachi Davis DL #115.5
K'Von Sherman LB #04.5
InterceptionsBraden Awls S #25
Nasir Bowers CB #02
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S #72
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.