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Wk 5 · 2026

BYU Cougars at TCU Horned Frogs — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential BYU by 5.7
Big 12 · 0-1

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. BYU is ranked #14 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

BYU: +9.7#21
Efficiency margin
TCU: +1.6#57
BYU: 30.1
Offense (pts/100)
TCU: 25.9
BYU: 20.3
Defense (pts/100)
TCU: 24.3
BYU: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
TCU: 1471.0
BYU: no data
Yards / play
TCU: 3.96
BYU: no data
Yards / play allowed
TCU: 5.65
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

BYU: no data
Points / game
TCU: 10.0
BYU: no data
Points allowed
TCU: 15.0
BYU: no data
Yards / game
TCU: 281
BYU: no data
Yards allowed
TCU: no data
BYU: no data
Pass yds allowed
TCU: no data
BYU: no data
Rush yds allowed
TCU: no data
BYU: no data
Turnovers / game
TCU: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

BYU form

No completed games on record.

TCU form

L 10-15vs UNC
2026 season

BYU this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

TCU this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentBYUTCU
Arizona
Big 12
vs Wk 2 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
UCF
Big 12
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Utah
Big 12
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Baylor
Big 12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Kansas
Big 12
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, TCU leads 5–3 · BYU won the last one
8 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 9.6 points toward TCU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-15TCU 1344 BYUat BYUBYU
20232023-10-14BYU 1144 TCUat TCUTCU
20112011-10-28BYU 2838 TCUneutralTCU
20102010-10-16BYU 331 TCUat TCUTCU
20092009-10-24TCU 387 BYUat BYUTCU
20082008-10-16BYU 732 TCUat TCUTCU
20072007-11-08TCU 2227 BYUat BYUBYU
20062006-09-28BYU 3117 TCUat TCUBYU

BYU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBear Bachmeier QB #47224/349, 2708 YDS, 14 TD, 6 INT
McCae Hillstead QB #34/5, 33 YDS
RushingLJ Martin RB #4236 CAR, 1305 YDS, 12 TD
Bear Bachmeier QB #47146 CAR, 527 YDS, 11 TD
Parker Kingston WR #1122 CAR, 103 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingParker Kingston WR #1161 REC, 848 YDS, 5 TD
Chase Roberts WR #247 REC, 745 YDS, 5 TD
Carsen Ryan TE #2037 REC, 500 YDS, 3 TD
LJ Martin RB #436 REC, 255 YDS
Defense
TacklesFaletau Satuala S #1177
Tanner Wall S #2861
Isaiah Glasker LB #1660
SacksJack Kelly LB #1710
Isaiah Glasker LB #163
Bodie Schoonover DE #483
InterceptionsTanner Wall S #284
Evan Johnson CB #04
Faletau Satuala S #113

TCU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJosh Hoover QB #10272/413, 3472 YDS, 29 TD, 13 INT
Ken Seals QB #94/6, 24 YDS, 1 INT
RushingJeremy Payne RB #2697 CAR, 550 YDS, 4 TD
Kevorian Barnes RB #297 CAR, 443 YDS, 3 TD
Trent Battle RB #662 CAR, 345 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingEric McAlister WR #164 REC, 1121 YDS, 10 TD
Jordan Dwyer WR #754 REC, 730 YDS, 7 TD
Joseph Manjack IV WR #1441 REC, 551 YDS, 3 TD
DJ Rogers TE #032 REC, 300 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesKaleb Elarms-Orr LB #3119
Jamel Johnson S #289
Namdi Obiazor LB #481
SacksKaleb Elarms-Orr LB #34
Devean Deal EDGE #113.5
Kylin Jackson S #62.5
InterceptionsBud Clark S #214
Jamel Johnson S #24
Namdi Obiazor LB #42
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.