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Wk 7 · 2026

TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · McLane Stadium, Waco, TX

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 0-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TCU by 0.8
Big 12 · no games yet

What is at stake

The Revivalry. Ninety miles apart in central Texas, a series that goes back to 1899 and got its nickname when both programs were resurrected in the Big 12. A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

TCU: +1.6#57
Efficiency margin
Baylor: -1.6#77
TCU: 25.9
Offense (pts/100)
Baylor: 30.2
TCU: 24.3
Defense (pts/100)
Baylor: 31.8
TCU: 1471.0
Pace (plays/g)
Baylor: 65.5
TCU: 3.96
Yards / play
Baylor: no data
TCU: 5.65
Yards / play allowed
Baylor: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

TCU: 10.0
Points / game
Baylor: no data
TCU: 15.0
Points allowed
Baylor: no data
TCU: 281
Yards / game
Baylor: no data
TCU: no data
Yards allowed
Baylor: no data
TCU: no data
Pass yds allowed
Baylor: no data
TCU: no data
Rush yds allowed
Baylor: no data
TCU: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Baylor: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

TCU form

L 10-15vs UNC
2026 season

Baylor form

No completed games on record.

TCU this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Baylor this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentTCUBaylor
UCF
Big 12
at Wk 4 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
BYU
Big 12
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Kansas
Big 12
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Texas Tech
Big 12
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, TCU leads 13–5 · TCU won the last one
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 11.3 points toward TCU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-18Baylor 3642 TCUat TCUTCU
20242024-11-02TCU 3437 Baylorat BAYBaylor
20232023-11-18Baylor 1742 TCUat TCUTCU
20222022-11-19TCU 2928 Baylorat BAYTCU
20212021-11-06Baylor 2830 TCUat TCUTCU
20202020-10-31TCU 3323 Baylorat BAYTCU
20192019-11-09Baylor 2923 TCUat TCUBaylor
20182018-11-17TCU 169 Baylorat BAYTCU
20172017-11-24Baylor 2245 TCUat TCUTCU
20162016-11-05TCU 6222 Baylorat BAYTCU
20152015-11-27Baylor 2128 TCUat TCUTCU
20142014-10-11TCU 5861 Baylorat BAYBaylor
20132013-11-30Baylor 4138 TCUat TCUBaylor
20122012-10-13TCU 4921 Baylorat BAYTCU
20112011-09-02TCU 4850 Baylorat BAYBaylor
20102010-09-18Baylor 1045 TCUat TCUTCU
20072007-09-01Baylor 027 TCUat TCUTCU
20062006-09-03TCU 177 Baylorat BAYTCU

TCU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJosh Hoover QB #10272/413, 3472 YDS, 29 TD, 13 INT
Ken Seals QB #94/6, 24 YDS, 1 INT
RushingJeremy Payne RB #2697 CAR, 550 YDS, 4 TD
Kevorian Barnes RB #297 CAR, 443 YDS, 3 TD
Trent Battle RB #662 CAR, 345 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingEric McAlister WR #164 REC, 1121 YDS, 10 TD
Jordan Dwyer WR #754 REC, 730 YDS, 7 TD
Joseph Manjack IV WR #1441 REC, 551 YDS, 3 TD
DJ Rogers TE #032 REC, 300 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesKaleb Elarms-Orr LB #3119
Jamel Johnson S #289
Namdi Obiazor LB #481
SacksKaleb Elarms-Orr LB #34
Devean Deal EDGE #113.5
Kylin Jackson S #62.5
InterceptionsBud Clark S #214
Jamel Johnson S #24
Namdi Obiazor LB #42

Baylor leaders 2025 regular season

PassingSawyer Robertson QB #13304/503, 3681 YDS, 31 TD, 12 INT
Nate Bennett QB #125/7, 34 YDS
RushingBryson Washington RB #30154 CAR, 788 YDS, 6 TD
Caden Knighten RB #11104 CAR, 469 YDS, 1 TD
Michael Turner RB #2365 CAR, 320 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJosh Cameron WR #3469 REC, 872 YDS, 9 TD
Michael Trigg TE #150 REC, 694 YDS, 6 TD
Ashtyn Hawkins WR #653 REC, 621 YDS
Kole Wilson WR #1944 REC, 591 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesKeaton Thomas LB #1199
Devyn Bobby S #377
Jacob Redding S #853
SacksEmar'rion Winston DL #44
Jackie Marshall DT #02
Kendrick Simpkins S #161
InterceptionsJacob Redding S #83
DJ Coleman S #332
Micah Gifford S #241
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.