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Wk 13 · 2026

TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders — Thu, Nov 26

Thu, Nov 26 · Galaxy Stadium, Lubbock, TX · ESPN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 88 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 0-1
at
8:00pET
TTU -16.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TTU by 20.6
Big 12 · no games yet

What is at stake

Saddle Trophy. Thanksgiving night in Lubbock, with a hand-tooled saddle on the line — the only FBS game played on Thanksgiving Day in 2026. They play for the West Texas Saddle. A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Texas Tech is ranked #12 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

TCU: +1.6#57
Efficiency margin
Texas Tech: +19.8#2
TCU: 25.9
Offense (pts/100)
Texas Tech: 34.9
TCU: 24.3
Defense (pts/100)
Texas Tech: 15.2
TCU: 1471.0
Pace (plays/g)
Texas Tech: 65.5
TCU: 3.96
Yards / play
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: 5.65
Yards / play allowed
Texas Tech: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

TCU: 10.0
Points / game
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: 15.0
Points allowed
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: 281
Yards / game
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: no data
Yards allowed
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: no data
Pass yds allowed
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: no data
Rush yds allowed
Texas Tech: no data
TCU: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Texas Tech: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

TCU form

L 10-15vs UNC
2026 season

Texas Tech form

No completed games on record.

TCU this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Texas Tech this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentTCUTexas Tech
Baylor
Big 12
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
West Virginia
Big 12
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Arizona
Big 12
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, TCU leads 9–5 · TCU won the last one
14 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 8.2 points toward TCU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-10-26Texas Tech 3435 TCUat TCUTCU
20232023-11-02TCU 2835 Texas Techat TTUTexas Tech
20222022-11-05Texas Tech 2434 TCUat TCUTCU
20212021-10-09TCU 5231 Texas Techat TTUTCU
20202020-11-07Texas Tech 1834 TCUat TCUTCU
20192019-11-16TCU 3331 Texas Techat TTUTCU
20182018-10-11Texas Tech 1714 TCUat TCUTexas Tech
20172017-11-18TCU 273 Texas Techat TTUTCU
20162016-10-29Texas Tech 2724 TCUat TCUTexas Tech
20152015-09-26TCU 5552 Texas Techat TTUTCU
20142014-10-25Texas Tech 2782 TCUat TCUTCU
20132013-09-12TCU 1020 Texas Techat TTUTexas Tech
20122012-10-20Texas Tech 5653 TCUat TCUTexas Tech
20062006-09-16Texas Tech 312 TCUat TCUTCU

TCU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJosh Hoover QB #10272/413, 3472 YDS, 29 TD, 13 INT
Ken Seals QB #94/6, 24 YDS, 1 INT
RushingJeremy Payne RB #2697 CAR, 550 YDS, 4 TD
Kevorian Barnes RB #297 CAR, 443 YDS, 3 TD
Trent Battle RB #662 CAR, 345 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingEric McAlister WR #164 REC, 1121 YDS, 10 TD
Jordan Dwyer WR #754 REC, 730 YDS, 7 TD
Joseph Manjack IV WR #1441 REC, 551 YDS, 3 TD
DJ Rogers TE #032 REC, 300 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesKaleb Elarms-Orr LB #3119
Jamel Johnson S #289
Namdi Obiazor LB #481
SacksKaleb Elarms-Orr LB #34
Devean Deal EDGE #113.5
Kylin Jackson S #62.5
InterceptionsBud Clark S #214
Jamel Johnson S #24
Namdi Obiazor LB #42

Texas Tech leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBehren Morton QB #2201/300, 2643 YDS, 22 TD, 4 INT
Will Hammond QB #1569/109, 680 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
RushingCameron Dickey RB #8198 CAR, 1095 YDS, 14 TD
J'Koby Williams RB #20142 CAR, 787 YDS, 6 TD
Will Hammond QB #1543 CAR, 299 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingCaleb Douglas WR #554 REC, 846 YDS, 7 TD
Reggie Virgil WR #155 REC, 676 YDS, 6 TD
Coy Eakin WR #347 REC, 626 YDS, 6 TD
Terrance Carter Jr. TE #746 REC, 552 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesJacob Rodriguez LB #10117
Ben Roberts LB #1374
Cole Wisniewski S #572
SacksDavid Bailey LB #3113.5
Romello Height EDGE #99
A.J. Holmes Jr. DL #104.5
InterceptionsBrice Pollock CB #145
Jacob Rodriguez LB #104
Ben Roberts LB #133
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.