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Wk 2 · 2026

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Michigan State Spartans — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI · BTN

Weather at kickoff

65°F clear
3% chance of precipitation · wind 10 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
3:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MSU by 8.0
Big Ten · no games yet

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

E Michigan: -7.5#109
Efficiency margin
Michigan St: -1.9#79
E Michigan: 23.9
Offense (pts/100)
Michigan St: 26.1
E Michigan: 31.4
Defense (pts/100)
Michigan St: 28.0
E Michigan: 68.0
Pace (plays/g)
Michigan St: 65.5
E Michigan: 5.12
Yards / play
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: 4.30
Yards / play allowed
Michigan St: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

E Michigan: 28.0
Points / game
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: 17.0
Points allowed
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: 348
Yards / game
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: no data
Yards allowed
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: no data
Pass yds allowed
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: no data
Rush yds allowed
Michigan St: no data
E Michigan: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Michigan St: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

E Michigan form

W 28-17vs SAC
2026 season

Michigan St form

No completed games on record.

E Michigan this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Michigan St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentE MichiganMichigan St
Wisconsin
Big Ten
at Wk 3 · scheduled previewat Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Toledo
MAC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 1 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Michigan St leads 4–0 · Michigan St has won the last 4
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 34.8 points toward Michigan St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20142014-09-20E Michigan 1473 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20122012-09-22E Michigan 723 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20082008-09-06E Michigan 1042 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St
20062006-09-09E Michigan 2052 Michigan Stat MSUMichigan St

E Michigan leaders 2025 regular season

PassingNoah Kim QB #1247/402, 2817 YDS, 18 TD, 11 INT
Terry Lockett Jr. WR #30/1, 0 YDS
RushingDontae McMillan RB #28177 CAR, 1014 YDS, 4 TD
Tavierre Dunlap RB #21106 CAR, 428 YDS, 5 TD
Noah Kim QB #179 CAR, 186 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingNick Devereaux WR #234 REC, 510 YDS, 7 TD
Dontae McMillan RB #2833 REC, 375 YDS, 3 TD
Joshua Long TE #937 REC, 357 YDS, 3 TD
Harold Mack WR #520 REC, 333 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesBryce Llewellyn DB #6102
Barry Manning LB #374
Jason Marshall DB #1361
SacksQuincy Byas DL #543
Barry Manning LB #32
Carter Evans DL #331.5
InterceptionsBryce Llewellyn DB #62
Barry Manning LB #31
Joshua Scott DB #01

Michigan St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingAidan Chiles QB #0128/203, 1392 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
Alessio Milivojevic QB #11111/173, 1267 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
RushingMakhi Frazier RB #25116 CAR, 520 YDS, 2 TD
Elijah Tau-Tolliver RB #472 CAR, 428 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon Tullis RB #769 CAR, 301 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingNick Marsh WR #1159 REC, 662 YDS, 6 TD
Omari Kelly WR #147 REC, 626 YDS, 2 TD
Jack Velling TE #1236 REC, 359 YDS, 3 TD
Chrishon McCray WR #1324 REC, 330 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJordan Hall LB #588
Wayne Matthews III LB #1073
Alex VanSumeren DT #9152
SacksQuindarius Dunnigan DL #992.5
Jordan Hall LB #52.5
Jalen Thompson DL #92.5
InterceptionsArmorion Smith S #71
Wayne Matthews III LB #101
Aveon Grose S #301
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.