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Wk 3 · 2026

LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS · ABC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 20 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · no games yet
at
7:30pET
MISS -1.5 · total 57.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MISS by 11.8
SEC · no games yet

What is at stake

Magnolia Bowl. A night game in the Grove-to-Vaught pipeline for a trophy created in 2008 to name a rivalry that had already been going for a century. They play for the Magnolia Bowl trophy. A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. LSU is ranked #11 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17). Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

LSU: +3.6#45
Efficiency margin
Ole Miss: +13.0#9
LSU: 23.4
Offense (pts/100)
Ole Miss: 36.1
LSU: 19.8
Defense (pts/100)
Ole Miss: 23.1
LSU: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Ole Miss: 65.5
LSU: no data
Yards / play
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Yards / play allowed
Ole Miss: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

LSU: no data
Points / game
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Points allowed
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Yards / game
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Yards allowed
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Pass yds allowed
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Rush yds allowed
Ole Miss: no data
LSU: no data
Turnovers / game
Ole Miss: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

LSU form

No completed games on record.

Ole Miss form

No completed games on record.

LSU this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Ole Miss this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentLSUOle Miss
Mississippi St
SEC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Auburn
SEC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Texas
SEC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, LSU leads 13–7 · Ole Miss won the last one
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.6 points toward LSU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-09-27LSU 1924 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20242024-10-12Ole Miss 2629 LSUat LSULSU
20232023-09-30LSU 4955 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20222022-10-22Ole Miss 2045 LSUat LSULSU
20212021-10-23LSU 1731 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20202020-12-19Ole Miss 4853 LSUat LSULSU
20192019-11-16LSU 5837 Ole Missat MISSLSU
20182018-09-29Ole Miss 1645 LSUat LSULSU
20172017-10-21LSU 4024 Ole Missat MISSLSU
20162016-10-22Ole Miss 2138 LSUat LSULSU
20152015-11-21LSU 1738 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20142014-10-25Ole Miss 710 LSUat LSULSU
20132013-10-19LSU 2427 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20122012-11-17Ole Miss 3541 LSUat LSULSU
20112011-11-19LSU 523 Ole Missat MISSLSU
20102010-11-20Ole Miss 3643 LSUat LSULSU
20092009-11-21LSU 2325 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20082008-11-22Ole Miss 3113 LSUat LSUOle Miss
20072007-11-17LSU 4124 Ole Missat MISSLSU
20062006-11-18Ole Miss 2023 LSUat LSULSU

LSU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingGarrett Nussmeier QB #18194/288, 1927 YDS, 12 TD, 5 INT
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #378/125, 743 YDS, 5 TD, 2 INT
RushingCaden Durham RB #29106 CAR, 505 YDS, 3 TD
Harlem Berry RB #22101 CAR, 446 YDS, 2 TD
Ju'Juan Johnson RB #438 CAR, 151 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBarion Brown WR #652 REC, 495 YDS, 1 TD
Zavion Thomas WR #040 REC, 473 YDS, 4 TD
Aaron Anderson WR #133 REC, 398 YDS
Trey'Dez Green TE #1429 REC, 353 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesA.J. Haulcy S #1389
West Weeks LB #3376
Davhon Keys LB #4274
SacksHarold Perkins Jr. LB #74
West Weeks LB #332.5
Jimari Butler DE #122
InterceptionsHarold Perkins Jr. LB #73
A.J. Haulcy S #133
DJ Pickett CB #53

Ole Miss leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTrinidad Chambliss QB #6218/333, 3016 YDS, 18 TD, 3 INT
Austin Simmons QB #1341/70, 680 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
RushingKewan Lacy RB #5258 CAR, 1279 YDS, 20 TD
Trinidad Chambliss QB #6118 CAR, 470 YDS, 6 TD
Logan Diggs RB #2225 CAR, 168 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingHarrison Wallace III WR #246 REC, 719 YDS, 3 TD
Deuce Alexander WR #134 REC, 577 YDS, 2 TD
Cayden Lee WR #1933 REC, 537 YDS, 3 TD
De'Zhaun Stribling WR #138 REC, 533 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesTJ Dottery LB #677
Suntarine Perkins LB #464
Wydett Williams Jr. S #1655
SacksPrincewill Umanmielen DE #16.5
Will Echoles DT #524.5
Kam Franklin DE #53.5
InterceptionsWydett Williams Jr. S #163
Zxavian Harris DT #511
Suntarine Perkins LB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.