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Wk 7 · 2026

Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU Tigers — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LSU by 6.8
SEC · no games yet

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start. LSU is ranked #11 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Mississippi St: -0.8#72
Efficiency margin
LSU: +3.6#45
Mississippi St: 28.7
Offense (pts/100)
LSU: 23.4
Mississippi St: 29.5
Defense (pts/100)
LSU: 19.8
Mississippi St: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
LSU: 65.5
Mississippi St: no data
Yards / play
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Yards / play allowed
LSU: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Mississippi St: no data
Points / game
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Points allowed
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Yards / game
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Yards allowed
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Pass yds allowed
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Rush yds allowed
LSU: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Turnovers / game
LSU: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Mississippi St form

No completed games on record.

LSU form

No completed games on record.

Mississippi St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

LSU this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentMississippi StLSU
Alabama
SEC
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Texas
SEC
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Auburn
SEC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Ole Miss
SEC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 3 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, LSU leads 15–3 · LSU has won the last 3
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 12.3 points toward LSU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-09-16LSU 4114 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20222022-09-17Mississippi St 1631 LSUat LSULSU
20212021-09-25LSU 2825 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20202020-09-26Mississippi St 4434 LSUat LSUMississippi St
20192019-10-19LSU 3613 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20182018-10-20Mississippi St 319 LSUat LSULSU
20172017-09-16LSU 737 Mississippi Stat MSSTMississippi St
20162016-09-17Mississippi St 2023 LSUat LSULSU
20152015-09-12LSU 2119 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20142014-09-20Mississippi St 3429 LSUat LSUMississippi St
20132013-10-05LSU 5926 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20122012-11-10Mississippi St 1737 LSUat LSULSU
20112011-09-15LSU 196 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20102010-09-18Mississippi St 729 LSUat LSULSU
20092009-09-26LSU 3026 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20082008-09-27Mississippi St 2434 LSUat LSULSU
20072007-08-30LSU 450 Mississippi Stat MSSTLSU
20062006-09-30Mississippi St 1748 LSUat LSULSU

Mississippi St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBlake Shapen QB #2195/303, 2433 YDS, 15 TD, 8 INT
Kamario Taylor QB #130/55, 388 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingFluff Bothwell RB #24128 CAR, 639 YDS, 6 TD
Davon Booth RB #6136 CAR, 553 YDS, 7 TD
Kamario Taylor QB #164 CAR, 395 YDS, 7 TD
ReceivingBrenen Thompson WR #053 REC, 948 YDS, 6 TD
Anthony Evans III WR #363 REC, 751 YDS, 4 TD
Seydou Traore TE #834 REC, 358 YDS, 5 TD
Ayden Williams WR #1119 REC, 222 YDS
Defense
TacklesJahron Manning S #1385
Nic Mitchell LB #4072
Brylan Lanier S #365
SacksNic Mitchell LB #402.5
Will Whitson DL #432
Kalvin Dinkins DL #352
InterceptionsBrylan Lanier S #33
Kelley Jones CB #12
Hunter Washington S #211

LSU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingGarrett Nussmeier QB #18194/288, 1927 YDS, 12 TD, 5 INT
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #378/125, 743 YDS, 5 TD, 2 INT
RushingCaden Durham RB #29106 CAR, 505 YDS, 3 TD
Harlem Berry RB #22101 CAR, 446 YDS, 2 TD
Ju'Juan Johnson RB #438 CAR, 151 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBarion Brown WR #652 REC, 495 YDS, 1 TD
Zavion Thomas WR #040 REC, 473 YDS, 4 TD
Aaron Anderson WR #133 REC, 398 YDS
Trey'Dez Green TE #1429 REC, 353 YDS, 5 TD
Defense
TacklesA.J. Haulcy S #1389
West Weeks LB #3376
Davhon Keys LB #4274
SacksHarold Perkins Jr. LB #74
West Weeks LB #332.5
Jimari Butler DE #122
InterceptionsHarold Perkins Jr. LB #73
A.J. Haulcy S #133
DJ Pickett CB #53
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.