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Wk 11 · 2026

Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 75 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AUB by 2.9
SEC · no games yet

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Auburn: +4.5#38
Efficiency margin
Mississippi St: -0.8#72
Auburn: 25.2
Offense (pts/100)
Mississippi St: 28.7
Auburn: 20.7
Defense (pts/100)
Mississippi St: 29.5
Auburn: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Mississippi St: 65.5
Auburn: no data
Yards / play
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Yards / play allowed
Mississippi St: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Auburn: no data
Points / game
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Points allowed
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Yards / game
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Yards allowed
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Pass yds allowed
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Rush yds allowed
Mississippi St: no data
Auburn: no data
Turnovers / game
Mississippi St: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Auburn form

No completed games on record.

Mississippi St form

No completed games on record.

Auburn this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Mississippi St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentAuburnMississippi St
Vanderbilt
SEC
vs Wk 4 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
LSU
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Ole Miss
SEC
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Alabama
SEC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Auburn leads 11–7 · Auburn won the last one
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.8 points toward Auburn
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-10-28Mississippi St 1327 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20222022-11-05Auburn 3339 Mississippi Stat MSSTMississippi St
20212021-11-13Mississippi St 4334 Auburnat AUBMississippi St
20202020-12-12Auburn 2410 Mississippi Stat MSSTAuburn
20192019-09-28Mississippi St 2356 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20182018-10-06Auburn 923 Mississippi Stat MSSTMississippi St
20172017-09-30Mississippi St 1049 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20162016-10-08Auburn 3814 Mississippi Stat MSSTAuburn
20152015-09-26Mississippi St 179 Auburnat AUBMississippi St
20142014-10-11Auburn 2338 Mississippi Stat MSSTMississippi St
20132013-09-14Mississippi St 2024 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20122012-09-08Auburn 1028 Mississippi Stat MSSTMississippi St
20112011-09-10Mississippi St 3441 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20102010-09-09Auburn 1714 Mississippi Stat MSSTAuburn
20092009-09-12Mississippi St 2449 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20082008-09-13Auburn 32 Mississippi Stat MSSTAuburn
20072007-09-15Mississippi St 1914 Auburnat AUBMississippi St
20062006-09-09Auburn 340 Mississippi Stat MSSTAuburn

Auburn leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJackson Arnold QB #11136/215, 1309 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
Ashton Daniels QB #1468/119, 797 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
RushingJeremiah Cobb RB #23175 CAR, 969 YDS, 5 TD
Jackson Arnold QB #11112 CAR, 311 YDS, 8 TD
Ashton Daniels QB #1463 CAR, 280 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingCam Coleman WR #856 REC, 708 YDS, 5 TD
Eric Singleton Jr. WR #258 REC, 534 YDS, 3 TD
Malcolm Simmons WR #1125 REC, 457 YDS, 2 TD
Perry Thompson WR #317 REC, 154 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier Atkins LB #1784
Robert Woodyard Jr. LB #067
Kaleb Harris S #850
SacksXavier Atkins LB #179
Keyron Crawford EDGE #245
Chris Murray DL #133.5
InterceptionsRayshawn Pleasant CB #42
Elijah Melendez LB #92
Kayin Lee DB #141

Mississippi St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBlake Shapen QB #2195/303, 2433 YDS, 15 TD, 8 INT
Kamario Taylor QB #130/55, 388 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingFluff Bothwell RB #24128 CAR, 639 YDS, 6 TD
Davon Booth RB #6136 CAR, 553 YDS, 7 TD
Kamario Taylor QB #164 CAR, 395 YDS, 7 TD
ReceivingBrenen Thompson WR #053 REC, 948 YDS, 6 TD
Anthony Evans III WR #363 REC, 751 YDS, 4 TD
Seydou Traore TE #834 REC, 358 YDS, 5 TD
Ayden Williams WR #1119 REC, 222 YDS
Defense
TacklesJahron Manning S #1385
Nic Mitchell LB #4072
Brylan Lanier S #365
SacksNic Mitchell LB #402.5
Will Whitson DL #432
Kalvin Dinkins DL #352
InterceptionsBrylan Lanier S #33
Kelley Jones CB #12
Hunter Washington S #211
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.