Wk 10 · 2026
Vanderbilt Commodores at Mississippi State Bulldogs — Sat, Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7 ·
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 68 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential VAN by 10.3
SEC · no games yet
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Vanderbilt form
No completed games on record.
Mississippi St form
No completed games on record.
Vanderbilt this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Mississippi St this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | Vanderbilt | Mississippi St |
|---|---|---|
| Auburn SEC | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Ole Miss SEC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Alabama SEC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Mississippi St leads 5–0 · Mississippi St has won the last 5
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
22.4 points toward Mississippi St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2021-10-23 | Mississippi St 45 — 6 Vanderbilt | at VAN | Mississippi St |
| 2020 | 2020-11-07 | Vanderbilt 17 — 24 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2014 | 2014-11-22 | Vanderbilt 0 — 51 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2009 | 2009-09-19 | Mississippi St 15 — 3 Vanderbilt | at VAN | Mississippi St |
| 2008 | 2008-10-11 | Vanderbilt 14 — 17 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
Vanderbilt leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Diego Pavia QB #2 | 242/340, 3192 YDS, 27 TD, 8 INT |
| Blaze Berlowitz QB #1 | 9/17, 131 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Diego Pavia QB #2 | 152 CAR, 826 YDS, 9 TD |
| Sedrick Alexander RB #28 | 102 CAR, 560 YDS, 11 TD | |
| Makhilyn Young RB #22 | 45 CAR, 410 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Receiving | Eli Stowers TE #9 | 62 REC, 769 YDS, 4 TD |
| Tre Richardson WR #0 | 40 REC, 679 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Junior Sherrill WR #0 | 46 REC, 661 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Richie Hoskins WR #5 | 26 REC, 305 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Bryan Longwell LB #11 | 67 |
| CJ Heard S #8 | 64 | |
| Langston Patterson LB #10 | 61 | |
| Sacks | Miles Capers EDGE #29 | 4.5 |
| Zaylin Wood DL #15 | 4 | |
| Khordae Sydnor DT #96 | 3.5 | |
| Interceptions | Martel Hight CB #4 | 3 |
| Zaylin Wood DL #15 | 1 | |
| Kolbey Taylor CB #3 | 1 |
Mississippi St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Blake Shapen QB #2 | 195/303, 2433 YDS, 15 TD, 8 INT |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 30/55, 388 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Fluff Bothwell RB #24 | 128 CAR, 639 YDS, 6 TD |
| Davon Booth RB #6 | 136 CAR, 553 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 64 CAR, 395 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Receiving | Brenen Thompson WR #0 | 53 REC, 948 YDS, 6 TD |
| Anthony Evans III WR #3 | 63 REC, 751 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Seydou Traore TE #8 | 34 REC, 358 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Ayden Williams WR #11 | 19 REC, 222 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jahron Manning S #13 | 85 |
| Nic Mitchell LB #40 | 72 | |
| Brylan Lanier S #3 | 65 | |
| Sacks | Nic Mitchell LB #40 | 2.5 |
| Will Whitson DL #43 | 2 | |
| Kalvin Dinkins DL #35 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Brylan Lanier S #3 | 3 |
| Kelley Jones CB #1 | 2 | |
| Hunter Washington S #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.