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Wk 8 · 2026

Michigan State Spartans at UCLA Bruins — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 54 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MSU by 1.0
Big Ten · no games yet

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Michigan St: -1.9#79
Efficiency margin
UCLA: -5.3#96
Michigan St: 26.1
Offense (pts/100)
UCLA: 23.2
Michigan St: 28.0
Defense (pts/100)
UCLA: 28.5
Michigan St: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
UCLA: 65.5
Michigan St: no data
Yards / play
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Yards / play allowed
UCLA: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Michigan St: no data
Points / game
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Points allowed
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Yards / game
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Yards allowed
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Pass yds allowed
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Rush yds allowed
UCLA: no data
Michigan St: no data
Turnovers / game
UCLA: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Michigan St form

No completed games on record.

UCLA form

No completed games on record.

Michigan St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

UCLA this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentMichigan StUCLA
Wisconsin
Big Ten
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Illinois
Big Ten
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Michigan
Big Ten
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Oregon
Big Ten
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, UCLA leads 1–0 · UCLA won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 25.0 points toward UCLA
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-11UCLA 3813 Michigan Stat MSUUCLA

Michigan St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingAidan Chiles QB #0128/203, 1392 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
Alessio Milivojevic QB #11111/173, 1267 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
RushingMakhi Frazier RB #25116 CAR, 520 YDS, 2 TD
Elijah Tau-Tolliver RB #472 CAR, 428 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon Tullis RB #769 CAR, 301 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingNick Marsh WR #1159 REC, 662 YDS, 6 TD
Omari Kelly WR #147 REC, 626 YDS, 2 TD
Jack Velling TE #1236 REC, 359 YDS, 3 TD
Chrishon McCray WR #1324 REC, 330 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJordan Hall LB #588
Wayne Matthews III LB #1073
Alex VanSumeren DT #9152
SacksQuindarius Dunnigan DL #992.5
Jordan Hall LB #52.5
Jalen Thompson DL #92.5
InterceptionsArmorion Smith S #71
Wayne Matthews III LB #101
Aveon Grose S #301

UCLA leaders 2025 regular season

PassingNico Iamaleava QB #9208/323, 1928 YDS, 13 TD, 7 INT
Luke Duncan QB #1221/34, 235 YDS, 2 TD
RushingNico Iamaleava QB #9112 CAR, 505 YDS, 4 TD
Jalen Berger RB #081 CAR, 364 YDS, 2 TD
Jaivian Thomas RB #2181 CAR, 294 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKwazi Gilmer WR #1150 REC, 535 YDS, 4 TD
Mikey Matthews WR #733 REC, 348 YDS, 2 TD
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala WR #225 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Rico Flores Jr. WR #1126 REC, 274 YDS
Defense
TacklesJonJon Vaughns LB #6107
Isaiah Chisom LB #284
Key Lawrence DB #470
SacksJalen Woods LB #91.5
Anthony Jones Jr. EDGE #151.5
Siale Taupaki DT #921
InterceptionsScooter Jackson DB #12
Key Lawrence DB #41
Cole Martin DB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.