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Wk 3 · 2026

Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC · SEC Network

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · no games yet
at
4:15pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential SC by 4.9
SEC · no games yet

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Mississippi St: -0.8#72
Efficiency margin
South Carolina: +1.7#56
Mississippi St: 28.7
Offense (pts/100)
South Carolina: 24.3
Mississippi St: 29.5
Defense (pts/100)
South Carolina: 22.6
Mississippi St: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
South Carolina: 65.5
Mississippi St: no data
Yards / play
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Yards / play allowed
South Carolina: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Mississippi St: no data
Points / game
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Points allowed
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Yards / game
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Yards allowed
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Pass yds allowed
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Rush yds allowed
South Carolina: no data
Mississippi St: no data
Turnovers / game
South Carolina: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Mississippi St form

No completed games on record.

South Carolina form

No completed games on record.

Mississippi St this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

South Carolina this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentMississippi StSouth Carolina
Alabama
SEC
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Oklahoma
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, South Carolina leads 5–1 · South Carolina won the last one
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.7 points toward South Carolina
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-09-23Mississippi St 3037 South Carolinaat SCSouth Carolina
20162016-09-10South Carolina 1427 Mississippi Stat MSSTMississippi St
20132013-11-02Mississippi St 1634 South Carolinaat SCSouth Carolina
20112011-10-15South Carolina 1412 Mississippi Stat MSSTSouth Carolina
20072007-09-29Mississippi St 2138 South Carolinaat SCSouth Carolina
20062006-08-31South Carolina 150 Mississippi Stat MSSTSouth Carolina

Mississippi St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBlake Shapen QB #2195/303, 2433 YDS, 15 TD, 8 INT
Kamario Taylor QB #130/55, 388 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingFluff Bothwell RB #24128 CAR, 639 YDS, 6 TD
Davon Booth RB #6136 CAR, 553 YDS, 7 TD
Kamario Taylor QB #164 CAR, 395 YDS, 7 TD
ReceivingBrenen Thompson WR #053 REC, 948 YDS, 6 TD
Anthony Evans III WR #363 REC, 751 YDS, 4 TD
Seydou Traore TE #834 REC, 358 YDS, 5 TD
Ayden Williams WR #1119 REC, 222 YDS
Defense
TacklesJahron Manning S #1385
Nic Mitchell LB #4072
Brylan Lanier S #365
SacksNic Mitchell LB #402.5
Will Whitson DL #432
Kalvin Dinkins DL #352
InterceptionsBrylan Lanier S #33
Kelley Jones CB #12
Hunter Washington S #211

South Carolina leaders 2025 regular season

PassingLaNorris Sellers QB #16178/293, 2437 YDS, 13 TD, 8 INT
Luke Doty WR #919/30, 153 YDS, 1 INT
RushingRahsul Faison RB #196 CAR, 470 YDS, 3 TD
LaNorris Sellers QB #16149 CAR, 270 YDS, 5 TD
Matt Fuller RB #2872 CAR, 260 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingNyck Harbor WR #830 REC, 618 YDS, 6 TD
Vandrevius Jacobs WR #832 REC, 548 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Sellers WR #1722 REC, 337 YDS, 1 TD
Donovan Murph WR #614 REC, 197 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDQ Smith S #164
Justin Okoronkwo LB #1763
Fred Johnson LB #061
SacksBryan Thomas Jr. DE #467
Dylan Stewart DE #64.5
Nick Barrett DT #932
InterceptionsPeyton Williams DB #312
Vicari Swain DB #42
Jalon Kilgore S #242
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.