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Wk 8 · 2026

New Mexico State Aggies at Sam Houston Bearkats — Wed, Oct 21

Wed, Oct 21 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville, TX · ESPN2

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 52 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
8:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NMSU by 6.1
CUSA · no games yet

What is at stake

A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

New Mexico St: -9.1#118
Efficiency margin
Sam Houston: -17.6#135
New Mexico St: 20.7
Offense (pts/100)
Sam Houston: 18.2
New Mexico St: 29.8
Defense (pts/100)
Sam Houston: 35.8
New Mexico St: 66.0
Pace (plays/g)
Sam Houston: 65.5
New Mexico St: 4.83
Yards / play
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: 6.35
Yards / play allowed
Sam Houston: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

New Mexico St: 17.0
Points / game
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: 34.0
Points allowed
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: 319
Yards / game
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: no data
Yards allowed
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: no data
Pass yds allowed
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: no data
Rush yds allowed
Sam Houston: no data
New Mexico St: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Sam Houston: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

New Mexico St form

L 17-34at FSU
2026 season

Sam Houston form

No completed games on record.

New Mexico St this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Sam Houston this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentNew Mexico StSam Houston
Western KY
CUSA
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
FIU
CUSA
at Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Jax State
CUSA
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Liberty
CUSA
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Missouri St
CUSA
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
MTSU
CUSA
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, New Mexico St leads 2–1 · New Mexico St won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.0 points toward New Mexico St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-02Sam Houston 1037 New Mexico Stat NMSUNew Mexico St
20242024-09-21New Mexico St 1131 Sam Houstonat SHSUSam Houston
20232023-10-11Sam Houston 1327 New Mexico Stat NMSUNew Mexico St

New Mexico St leaders 2025 regular season

PassingLogan Fife QB #4204/362, 2240 YDS, 11 TD, 12 INT
Adam Damante QB #1470/104, 711 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
RushingKadarius Calloway RB #1115 CAR, 438 YDS, 3 TD
Dijon Stanley RB #875 CAR, 308 YDS, 2 TD
Isaiah Rudison RB #2142 CAR, 158 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDonovan Faupel WR #861 REC, 661 YDS, 7 TD
TK King WR #141 REC, 588 YDS, 3 TD
Gavin Harris TE #836 REC, 514 YDS, 1 TD
PJ Johnson III WR #027 REC, 335 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesNaeten Mitchell DB #493
Tory Gethers LB #687
Sone Aupiu LB #1468
SacksEzra Christensen DL #906
Jamall Thompson Jr. DE #65
Tory Gethers LB #63
InterceptionsBernock Iya S #94
Naeten Mitchell DB #43
Jamall Thompson Jr. DE #62

Sam Houston leaders 2025 regular season

PassingHunter Watson QB #10104/182, 1108 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Landyn Locke QB #871/141, 765 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT
RushingLandan Brown RB #1084 CAR, 487 YDS, 5 TD
Elijah Green RB #2158 CAR, 391 YDS, 2 TD
Alton McCaskill RB #2288 CAR, 371 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Reed WR #230 REC, 460 YDS, 5 TD
Grady O'Neill WR #738 REC, 392 YDS, 1 TD
Landan Brown RB #1037 REC, 237 YDS
Tim Burns Jr. WR #312 REC, 228 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesAntavious Fish LB #682
CJ Brown DB #2464
Tyler Bailey S #849
SacksChristopher Eaton Jr. DE #175
Chauncey Chidi DE #482.5
Dylan Frazier DT #972
InterceptionsEmon Allen DB #73
Cecil Powell DB #21
CJ Brown DB #241
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.