Wk 12 · 2026
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Sam Houston Bearkats — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville, TX
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 82 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · no games yet
at
2:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MTSU by 5.6
CUSA · no games yet
What is at stake
A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
MTSU form
No completed games on record.
Sam Houston form
No completed games on record.
MTSU this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Sam Houston this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | MTSU | Sam Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Jax State CUSA | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| FIU CUSA | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Kennesaw St CUSA | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Western KY CUSA | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Liberty CUSA | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico St CUSA | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · MTSU won the last one
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.5 points toward MTSU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-22 | Sam Houston 17 — 31 MTSU | at MTSU | MTSU |
| 2023 | 2023-11-25 | MTSU 20 — 23 Sam Houston | at SHSU | Sam Houston |
MTSU leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Nicholas Vattiato QB #11 | 218/356, 2150 YDS, 16 TD, 7 INT |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 78/135, 1011 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Rushing | Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 140 CAR, 752 YDS, 4 TD |
| DJ Taylor RB #29 | 26 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 38 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Cam'ron Lacy WR #3 | 38 REC, 549 YDS, 3 TD |
| Myles Butler WR #5 | 52 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Nahzae Cox WR #0 | 40 REC, 473 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 40 REC, 412 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Parker Hughes LB #9 | 99 |
| Anthony Bynum LB #4 | 63 | |
| Shakai Woods DT #98 | 51 | |
| Sacks | Brandon Buckner LB #11 | 5.5 |
| Reggie Johnson LB #46 | 3.5 | |
| Damonte Smith NT #92 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Juwon Gaston S #22 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes LB #9 | 2 | |
| Damonte Smith NT #92 | 1 |
Sam Houston leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Hunter Watson QB #10 | 104/182, 1108 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT |
| Landyn Locke QB #8 | 71/141, 765 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Landan Brown RB #10 | 84 CAR, 487 YDS, 5 TD |
| Elijah Green RB #21 | 58 CAR, 391 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Alton McCaskill RB #22 | 88 CAR, 371 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Chris Reed WR #2 | 30 REC, 460 YDS, 5 TD |
| Grady O'Neill WR #7 | 38 REC, 392 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Landan Brown RB #10 | 37 REC, 237 YDS | |
| Tim Burns Jr. WR #3 | 12 REC, 228 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Antavious Fish LB #6 | 82 |
| CJ Brown DB #24 | 64 | |
| Tyler Bailey S #8 | 49 | |
| Sacks | Christopher Eaton Jr. DE #17 | 5 |
| Chauncey Chidi DE #48 | 2.5 | |
| Dylan Frazier DT #97 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Emon Allen DB #7 | 3 |
| Cecil Powell DB #2 | 1 | |
| CJ Brown DB #24 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.