Wk 11 · 2026
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
· CBSSN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 75 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · no games yet
at
3:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LIB by 7.8
CUSA · no games yet
What is at stake
A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
MTSU form
No completed games on record.
Liberty form
No completed games on record.
MTSU this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Liberty this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | MTSU | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware CUSA | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| FIU CUSA | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Kennesaw St CUSA | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Western KY CUSA | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Sam Houston CUSA | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico St CUSA | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Liberty leads 3–0 · Liberty has won the last 3
3 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
18.3 points toward Liberty
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-09 | Liberty 37 — 17 MTSU | at MTSU | Liberty |
| 2023 | 2023-10-17 | MTSU 35 — 42 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
| 2021 | 2021-10-09 | MTSU 13 — 41 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
MTSU leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Nicholas Vattiato QB #11 | 218/356, 2150 YDS, 16 TD, 7 INT |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 78/135, 1011 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Rushing | Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 140 CAR, 752 YDS, 4 TD |
| DJ Taylor RB #29 | 26 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 38 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Cam'ron Lacy WR #3 | 38 REC, 549 YDS, 3 TD |
| Myles Butler WR #5 | 52 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Nahzae Cox WR #0 | 40 REC, 473 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 40 REC, 412 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Parker Hughes LB #9 | 99 |
| Anthony Bynum LB #4 | 63 | |
| Shakai Woods DT #98 | 51 | |
| Sacks | Brandon Buckner LB #11 | 5.5 |
| Reggie Johnson LB #46 | 3.5 | |
| Damonte Smith NT #92 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Juwon Gaston S #22 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes LB #9 | 2 | |
| Damonte Smith NT #92 | 1 |
Liberty leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Ethan Vasko QB #15 | 151/266, 1961 YDS, 10 TD, 12 INT |
| Michael Merdinger QB #12 | 21/41, 350 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Evan Dickens RB #23 | 229 CAR, 1339 YDS, 16 TD |
| Ethan Vasko QB #15 | 100 CAR, 258 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Caden Williams RB #21 | 57 CAR, 250 YDS | |
| Receiving | Donte Lee Jr. WR #9 | 32 REC, 589 YDS, 5 TD |
| Jamari Person WR #3 | 28 REC, 315 YDS | |
| Julian Gray RB #1 | 18 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Reese Smith WR #6 | 23 REC, 209 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Derrell Farrar LB #1 | 71 |
| Joseph Carter LB #2 | 53 | |
| Damond Harmon CB #13 | 48 | |
| Sacks | Elijah Hall DL #15 | 4 |
| Brenton Williams RB #8 | 3 | |
| Christian Bodnar S #6 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Amarian Williams CB #26 | 2 |
| Damond Harmon CB #13 | 1 | |
| A'Khori Jones S #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.