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Wk 10 · 2026

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 68 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · no games yet
at
3:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WKU by 6.1
CUSA · no games yet

What is at stake

100 Miles of Hate. A hundred miles of I-65 between Murfreesboro and Bowling Green, and a rivalry whose nickname the schools have never once tried to soften. A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Western KY: -1.1#74
Efficiency margin
MTSU: -9.6#121
Western KY: 25.6
Offense (pts/100)
MTSU: 21.9
Western KY: 26.7
Defense (pts/100)
MTSU: 31.5
Western KY: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
MTSU: 65.5
Western KY: no data
Yards / play
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Yards / play allowed
MTSU: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Western KY: no data
Points / game
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Points allowed
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Yards / game
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Yards allowed
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Pass yds allowed
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Rush yds allowed
MTSU: no data
Western KY: no data
Turnovers / game
MTSU: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Western KY form

No completed games on record.

MTSU form

No completed games on record.

Western KY this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

MTSU this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 7

OpponentWestern KYMTSU
Nevada
Mountain West
at Wk 1 · scheduled previewvs Wk 3 · scheduled preview
New Mexico St
CUSA
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Sam Houston
CUSA
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Delaware
CUSA
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Jax State
CUSA
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Liberty
CUSA
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Kennesaw St
CUSA
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Western KY leads 12–6 · Western KY has won the last 7
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.5 points toward Western KY
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-15MTSU 2642 Western KYat WKUWestern KY
20242024-09-14Western KY 4921 MTSUat MTSUWestern KY
20232023-09-28MTSU 1031 Western KYat WKUWestern KY
20222022-10-15Western KY 3517 MTSUat MTSUWestern KY
20212021-11-06MTSU 2148 Western KYat WKUWestern KY
20202020-10-03Western KY 2017 MTSUat MTSUWestern KY
20192019-11-30MTSU 2631 Western KYat WKUWestern KY
20182018-11-02Western KY 1029 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20172017-11-17MTSU 3841 Western KYat WKUWestern KY
20162016-10-15Western KY 4443 MTSUat MTSUWestern KY
20152015-10-10MTSU 2858 Western KYat WKUWestern KY
20142014-09-13Western KY 4750 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20122012-11-01MTSU 3429 Western KYat WKUMTSU
20112011-10-06Western KY 3633 MTSUat MTSUWestern KY
20102010-11-20MTSU 2726 Western KYat WKUMTSU
20092009-10-24Western KY 2462 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20082008-11-15MTSU 2110 Western KYat WKUMTSU
20072007-09-20Western KY 2017 MTSUat MTSUWestern KY

Western KY leaders 2025 regular season

PassingMaverick McIvor QB #7171/254, 1863 YDS, 12 TD, 5 INT
Rodney Tisdale Jr. QB #16130/192, 1367 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT
RushingMarvis Parrish RB #2199 CAR, 511 YDS
La'Vell Wright RB #2980 CAR, 460 YDS, 10 TD
George Hart III RB #962 CAR, 272 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingMatthew Henry WR #1748 REC, 762 YDS, 6 TD
K.D. Hutchinson WR #261 REC, 619 YDS, 3 TD
Moussa Barry WR #8532 REC, 456 YDS, 1 TD
Noah Meyers TE #8130 REC, 292 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJaylen Wester LB #2194
Jaylen Lewis DB #768
Anthony Brackenridge LB #363
SacksDominic Oliver LB #93
Jalen Emery DB #52
Harper Holloman EDGE #502
InterceptionsJaylen Lewis DB #72
Avarion Cole DB #161
Jaavan Mack DB #121

MTSU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingNicholas Vattiato QB #11218/356, 2150 YDS, 16 TD, 7 INT
Roman Gagliano QB #1678/135, 1011 YDS, 7 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook RB #21140 CAR, 752 YDS, 4 TD
DJ Taylor RB #2926 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD
Roman Gagliano QB #1638 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy WR #338 REC, 549 YDS, 3 TD
Myles Butler WR #552 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD
Nahzae Cox WR #040 REC, 473 YDS, 5 TD
Jekail Middlebrook RB #2140 REC, 412 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesParker Hughes LB #999
Anthony Bynum LB #463
Shakai Woods DT #9851
SacksBrandon Buckner LB #115.5
Reggie Johnson LB #463.5
Damonte Smith NT #923
InterceptionsJuwon Gaston S #223
Parker Hughes LB #92
Damonte Smith NT #921
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.