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Wk 4 · 2026

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Jacksonville State Gamecocks — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, AL · ESPN+

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · no games yet
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential JXST by 8.0

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

MTSU: -9.6#121
Efficiency margin
Jax State: -4.0#91
MTSU: 21.9
Offense (pts/100)
Jax State: 24.2
MTSU: 31.5
Defense (pts/100)
Jax State: 28.2
MTSU: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Jax State: 54.0
MTSU: no data
Yards / play
Jax State: 3.15
MTSU: no data
Yards / play allowed
Jax State: 5.57
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

MTSU: no data
Points / game
Jax State: 7.0
MTSU: no data
Points allowed
Jax State: 33.0
MTSU: no data
Yards / game
Jax State: 170
MTSU: no data
Yards allowed
Jax State: no data
MTSU: no data
Pass yds allowed
Jax State: no data
MTSU: no data
Rush yds allowed
Jax State: no data
MTSU: no data
Turnovers / game
Jax State: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

MTSU form

No completed games on record.

Jax State form

L 7-33at NDSU
2026 season

MTSU this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Jax State this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentMTSUJax State
Delaware
CUSA
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
FIU
CUSA
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Kennesaw St
CUSA
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Western KY
CUSA
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Sam Houston
CUSA
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
New Mexico St
CUSA
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Jax State leads 3–0 · Jax State has won the last 3
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 13.3 points toward Jax State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-29Jax State 2421 MTSUat MTSUJax State
20242024-10-23MTSU 2042 Jax Stateat JXSTJax State
20232023-10-04Jax State 4530 MTSUat MTSUJax State

MTSU leaders 2025 regular season

PassingNicholas Vattiato QB #11218/356, 2150 YDS, 16 TD, 7 INT
Roman Gagliano QB #1678/135, 1011 YDS, 7 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook RB #21140 CAR, 752 YDS, 4 TD
DJ Taylor RB #2926 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD
Roman Gagliano QB #1638 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy WR #338 REC, 549 YDS, 3 TD
Myles Butler WR #552 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD
Nahzae Cox WR #040 REC, 473 YDS, 5 TD
Jekail Middlebrook RB #2140 REC, 412 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesParker Hughes LB #999
Anthony Bynum LB #463
Shakai Woods DT #9851
SacksBrandon Buckner LB #115.5
Reggie Johnson LB #463.5
Damonte Smith NT #923
InterceptionsJuwon Gaston S #223
Parker Hughes LB #92
Damonte Smith NT #921

Jax State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCaden Creel QB #12116/191, 1341 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Gavin Wimsatt QB #263/111, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
RushingCam Cook RB #4295 CAR, 1659 YDS, 16 TD
Caden Creel QB #12169 CAR, 1085 YDS, 7 TD
Gavin Wimsatt QB #252 CAR, 264 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingDeondre Johnson WR #1124 REC, 623 YDS, 6 TD
Brock Rechsteiner WR #333 REC, 356 YDS, 4 TD
Pearson Baldwin TE #1325 REC, 292 YDS, 2 TD
Cam Cook RB #430 REC, 286 YDS
Defense
TacklesWalker O'Steen LB #4080
Mac Sanders LB #5977
Trevor Woods S #4364
SacksDarrell Prater DL #964.5
Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL #994.5
Isaac Walker LB #73
InterceptionsCaleb Nix S #14
Walker O'Steen LB #403
Tre'Quon Fegans CB #31
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.