Wk 3 · 2026
Nevada Wolf Pack at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
· ESPN+
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 20 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · no games yet
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MTSU by 1.1
CUSA · no games yet
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Nevada form
No completed games on record.
MTSU form
No completed games on record.
Nevada this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
MTSU this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 1
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, MTSU leads 1–0 · MTSU won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.0 points toward MTSU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-13 | MTSU 14 — 13 Nevada | at NEV | MTSU |
Nevada leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Carter Jones QB #6 | 110/171, 1019 YDS, 6 TD, 8 INT |
| Chubba Purdy QB #13 | 44/86, 577 YDS, 3 TD, 8 INT | |
| Rushing | Caleb Ramseur RB #20 | 139 CAR, 683 YDS, 5 TD |
| Chubba Purdy QB #13 | 101 CAR, 527 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 69 CAR, 353 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jett Carpenter TE #85 | 35 REC, 374 YDS, 2 TD |
| Dakota Thomas WR #5 | 26 REC, 269 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Marcus Bellon WR #18 | 25 REC, 242 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Caleb Ramseur RB #20 | 18 REC, 191 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 87 |
| Stone Combs LB #33 | 73 | |
| Murvin Kenion III DB #5 | 59 | |
| Sacks | Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 6.5 |
| Jonathan Maldonado DE #17 | 5 | |
| Nelson Ropati DL #43 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Murvin Kenion III DB #5 | 5 |
| EJ Smith LB #2 | 2 | |
| Jonathan Maldonado DE #17 | 1 |
MTSU leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Nicholas Vattiato QB #11 | 218/356, 2150 YDS, 16 TD, 7 INT |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 78/135, 1011 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Rushing | Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 140 CAR, 752 YDS, 4 TD |
| DJ Taylor RB #29 | 26 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Roman Gagliano QB #16 | 38 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Cam'ron Lacy WR #3 | 38 REC, 549 YDS, 3 TD |
| Myles Butler WR #5 | 52 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Nahzae Cox WR #0 | 40 REC, 473 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Jekail Middlebrook RB #21 | 40 REC, 412 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Parker Hughes LB #9 | 99 |
| Anthony Bynum LB #4 | 63 | |
| Shakai Woods DT #98 | 51 | |
| Sacks | Brandon Buckner LB #11 | 5.5 |
| Reggie Johnson LB #46 | 3.5 | |
| Damonte Smith NT #92 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Juwon Gaston S #22 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes LB #9 | 2 | |
| Damonte Smith NT #92 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.