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Wk 12 · 2026

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Liberty Flames — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 82 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · no games yet
at
1:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WKU by 0.7
CUSA · no games yet

What is at stake

A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Western KY: -1.1#74
Efficiency margin
Liberty: -4.2#92
Western KY: 25.6
Offense (pts/100)
Liberty: 24.5
Western KY: 26.7
Defense (pts/100)
Liberty: 28.7
Western KY: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Liberty: 65.5
Western KY: no data
Yards / play
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Yards / play allowed
Liberty: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Western KY: no data
Points / game
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Points allowed
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Yards / game
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Yards allowed
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Pass yds allowed
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Rush yds allowed
Liberty: no data
Western KY: no data
Turnovers / game
Liberty: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Western KY form

No completed games on record.

Liberty form

No completed games on record.

Western KY this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Liberty this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentWestern KYLiberty
New Mexico St
CUSA
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Missouri St
CUSA
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Sam Houston
CUSA
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Delaware
CUSA
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 5 · scheduled preview
MTSU
CUSA
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Kennesaw St
CUSA
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Liberty leads 3–0 · Liberty has won the last 3
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 12.0 points toward Liberty
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-23Western KY 2138 Libertyat LIBLiberty
20232023-10-24Liberty 4229 Western KYat WKULiberty
20202020-09-19Liberty 3024 Western KYat WKULiberty

Western KY leaders 2025 regular season

PassingMaverick McIvor QB #7171/254, 1863 YDS, 12 TD, 5 INT
Rodney Tisdale Jr. QB #16130/192, 1367 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT
RushingMarvis Parrish RB #2199 CAR, 511 YDS
La'Vell Wright RB #2980 CAR, 460 YDS, 10 TD
George Hart III RB #962 CAR, 272 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingMatthew Henry WR #1748 REC, 762 YDS, 6 TD
K.D. Hutchinson WR #261 REC, 619 YDS, 3 TD
Moussa Barry WR #8532 REC, 456 YDS, 1 TD
Noah Meyers TE #8130 REC, 292 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJaylen Wester LB #2194
Jaylen Lewis DB #768
Anthony Brackenridge LB #363
SacksDominic Oliver LB #93
Jalen Emery DB #52
Harper Holloman EDGE #502
InterceptionsJaylen Lewis DB #72
Avarion Cole DB #161
Jaavan Mack DB #121

Liberty leaders 2025 regular season

PassingEthan Vasko QB #15151/266, 1961 YDS, 10 TD, 12 INT
Michael Merdinger QB #1221/41, 350 YDS, 1 TD
RushingEvan Dickens RB #23229 CAR, 1339 YDS, 16 TD
Ethan Vasko QB #15100 CAR, 258 YDS, 5 TD
Caden Williams RB #2157 CAR, 250 YDS
ReceivingDonte Lee Jr. WR #932 REC, 589 YDS, 5 TD
Jamari Person WR #328 REC, 315 YDS
Julian Gray RB #118 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD
Reese Smith WR #623 REC, 209 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDerrell Farrar LB #171
Joseph Carter LB #253
Damond Harmon CB #1348
SacksElijah Hall DL #154
Brenton Williams RB #83
Christian Bodnar S #62
InterceptionsAmarian Williams CB #262
Damond Harmon CB #131
A'Khori Jones S #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.