Wk 11 · 2026
North Dakota State Bison at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
· CW
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 76 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 1-0
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
No ratings differential: N Dakota St is not in the ratings file.
Mountain West · 0-1
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
N Dakota St form
W 33-7vs JXST
2026 season
Hawai'i form
L 27-37at STAN
2026 season
N Dakota St this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Hawai'i this season
Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | N Dakota St | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| Sacramento St MAC | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 1 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
N Dakota St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Cole Payton QB #9 | 162/225, 2719 YDS, 16 TD, 4 INT |
| Nathan Hayes QB #2 | 25/44, 381 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Barika Kpeenu RB #8 | 191 CAR, 1005 YDS, 20 TD |
| Cole Payton QB #9 | 136 CAR, 777 YDS, 13 TD | |
| DJ Scott RB #7 | 95 CAR, 502 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Receiving | Bryce Lance WR #5 | 51 REC, 1079 YDS, 8 TD |
| RaJa Nelson WR #3 | 28 REC, 404 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Reis Kessel TE #81 | 15 REC, 335 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jackson Williams WR #18 | 17 REC, 293 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Donovan Woolen LB #1 | 86 |
| Logan Kopp LB #43 | 76 | |
| Nathaniel Staehling LB #44 | 74 | |
| Sacks | Toby Anene DE #53 | 7 |
| Victor Isele DE #0 | 3 | |
| Jack Iuliano DE #98 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Nathaniel Staehling LB #44 | 3 |
| Taylen Eady S #14 | 3 | |
| Donovan Woolen LB #1 | 3 |
Hawai'i leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Micah Alejado QB #12 | 253/384, 2832 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT |
| Luke Weaver QB #3 | 61/102, 600 YDS, 5 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Landon Sims RB #30 | 113 CAR, 523 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cam Barfield RB #0 | 75 CAR, 361 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Christian Vaughn RB #47 | 17 CAR, 89 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jackson Harris WR #4 | 49 REC, 963 YDS, 12 TD |
| Pofele Ashlock WR #5 | 62 REC, 704 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Brandon White WR #8 | 37 REC, 382 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Karsyn Pupunu WR #11 | 30 REC, 256 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Peter Manuma DB #1 | 72 |
| Jamih Otis LB #11 | 59 | |
| Jalen Smith LB #3 | 56 | |
| Sacks | Jackie Johnson III DL #57 | 7.5 |
| De'Jon Benton DL #79 | 5.5 | |
| Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina DL #51 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen DB #8 | 2 |
| Elijah Palmer DB #4 | 2 | |
| Giovanni Iovino LB #17 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.