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Wk 12 · 2026

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 82 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 0-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential HAW by 3.7
Mountain West · no games yet

What is at stake

A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Hawai'i: -2.2#81
Efficiency margin
Nevada: -8.3#113
Hawai'i: 27.3
Offense (pts/100)
Nevada: 20.0
Hawai'i: 29.5
Defense (pts/100)
Nevada: 28.4
Hawai'i: 374.0
Pace (plays/g)
Nevada: 65.5
Hawai'i: 4.35
Yards / play
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: 6.80
Yards / play allowed
Nevada: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Hawai'i: 27.0
Points / game
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: 37.0
Points allowed
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: 322
Yards / game
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: no data
Yards allowed
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: no data
Pass yds allowed
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: no data
Rush yds allowed
Nevada: no data
Hawai'i: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Nevada: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Hawai'i form

L 27-37at STAN
2026 season

Nevada form

No completed games on record.

Hawai'i this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)

Nevada this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentHawai'iNevada
UNLV
Mountain West
vs Wk 1 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
San José St
Mountain West
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
New Mexico
Mountain West
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
N Illinois
Mountain West
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
UTEP
Mountain West
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
N Dakota St
Mountain West
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 9–9 · Hawai'i has won the last 3
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 1.1 points toward Nevada
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-10-26Nevada 1334 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20232023-11-04Hawai'i 2714 Nevadaat NEVHawai'i
20222022-10-15Nevada 1631 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20212021-10-16Hawai'i 1734 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20202020-11-28Nevada 2124 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20192019-09-28Hawai'i 543 Nevadaat NEVHawai'i
20182018-10-20Nevada 4022 Hawai'iat HAWNevada
20172017-10-07Hawai'i 2135 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20162016-10-01Nevada 1738 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20152015-10-24Hawai'i 2030 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20142014-10-26Nevada 2618 Hawai'iat HAWNevada
20132013-09-21Hawai'i 931 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20122012-09-22Nevada 6924 Hawai'iat HAWNevada
20112011-11-12Hawai'i 2842 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20102010-10-16Nevada 2127 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20092009-10-31Hawai'i 2131 Nevadaat NEVNevada
20082008-10-26Nevada 3138 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20072007-11-16Hawai'i 2826 Nevadaat NEVHawai'i

Hawai'i leaders 2025 regular season

PassingMicah Alejado QB #12253/384, 2832 YDS, 21 TD, 9 INT
Luke Weaver QB #361/102, 600 YDS, 5 TD, 3 INT
RushingLandon Sims RB #30113 CAR, 523 YDS, 3 TD
Cam Barfield RB #075 CAR, 361 YDS, 4 TD
Christian Vaughn RB #4717 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingJackson Harris WR #449 REC, 963 YDS, 12 TD
Pofele Ashlock WR #562 REC, 704 YDS, 6 TD
Brandon White WR #837 REC, 382 YDS, 1 TD
Karsyn Pupunu WR #1130 REC, 256 YDS
Defense
TacklesPeter Manuma DB #172
Jamih Otis LB #1159
Jalen Smith LB #356
SacksJackie Johnson III DL #577.5
De'Jon Benton DL #795.5
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina DL #512.5
InterceptionsKilinahe Mendiola-Jensen DB #82
Elijah Palmer DB #42
Giovanni Iovino LB #171

Nevada leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCarter Jones QB #6110/171, 1019 YDS, 6 TD, 8 INT
Chubba Purdy QB #1344/86, 577 YDS, 3 TD, 8 INT
RushingCaleb Ramseur RB #20139 CAR, 683 YDS, 5 TD
Chubba Purdy QB #13101 CAR, 527 YDS, 3 TD
Herschel Turner RB #169 CAR, 353 YDS
ReceivingJett Carpenter TE #8535 REC, 374 YDS, 2 TD
Dakota Thomas WR #526 REC, 269 YDS, 1 TD
Marcus Bellon WR #1825 REC, 242 YDS, 1 TD
Caleb Ramseur RB #2018 REC, 191 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesDylan LaBarbera EDGE #3287
Stone Combs LB #3373
Murvin Kenion III DB #559
SacksDylan LaBarbera EDGE #326.5
Jonathan Maldonado DE #175
Nelson Ropati DL #432
InterceptionsMurvin Kenion III DB #55
EJ Smith LB #22
Jonathan Maldonado DE #171
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.