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Wk 9 · 2026

Ohio State Buckeyes at USC Trojans — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 61 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · no games yet
at
TBDET
OSU -7.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential OSU by 6.2
Big Ten · 1-0

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Ohio State is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17). USC is ranked #14 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Ohio State: +19.5#4
Efficiency margin
USC: +10.9#15
Ohio State: 32.0
Offense (pts/100)
USC: 34.6
Ohio State: 12.5
Defense (pts/100)
USC: 23.6
Ohio State: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
USC: 2076.0
Ohio State: no data
Yards / play
USC: 6.64
Ohio State: no data
Yards / play allowed
USC: 6.00
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Ohio State: no data
Points / game
USC: 42.0
Ohio State: no data
Points allowed
USC: 26.0
Ohio State: no data
Yards / game
USC: 505
Ohio State: no data
Yards allowed
USC: no data
Ohio State: no data
Pass yds allowed
USC: no data
Ohio State: no data
Rush yds allowed
USC: no data
Ohio State: no data
Turnovers / game
USC: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Ohio State form

No completed games on record.

USC form

W 42-26vs SJSU
2026 season

Ohio State this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

USC this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentOhio StateUSC
Maryland
Big Ten
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Indiana
Big Ten
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Oregon
Big Ten
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, USC leads 2–1 · Ohio State won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.0 points toward USC
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20172017-12-29USC 724 Ohio StateneutralOhio State bowl/CFP
20092009-09-12USC 1815 Ohio Stateat OSUUSC
20082008-09-13Ohio State 335 USCat USCUSC

Ohio State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJulian Sayin QB #10279/356, 3323 YDS, 31 TD, 6 INT
Lincoln Kienholz QB #311/14, 139 YDS, 1 TD
RushingBo Jackson RB #25168 CAR, 1035 YDS, 5 TD
James Peoples RB #161 CAR, 344 YDS, 3 TD
CJ Donaldson RB #1289 CAR, 330 YDS, 10 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith WR #480 REC, 1086 YDS, 11 TD
Carnell Tate WR #1748 REC, 838 YDS, 9 TD
Max Klare TE #8643 REC, 448 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon Inniss WR #132 REC, 237 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesSonny Styles LB #081
Arvell Reese LB #862
Caden Curry EDGE #9260
SacksCaden Curry EDGE #9211
Arvell Reese LB #86.5
Kenyatta Jackson Jr. DE #26.5
InterceptionsDavison Igbinosun CB #12
Caleb Downs S #22
Jermaine Mathews Jr. CB #72

USC leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJayden Maiava QB #14247/373, 3431 YDS, 23 TD, 8 INT
Husan Longstreet QB #613/15, 103 YDS, 1 TD
RushingKing Miller RB #8131 CAR, 873 YDS, 7 TD
Waymond Jordan RB #288 CAR, 576 YDS, 5 TD
Eli Sanders RB #147 CAR, 264 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingMakai Lemon WR #679 REC, 1156 YDS, 11 TD
Ja'Kobi Lane WR #849 REC, 745 YDS, 4 TD
Lake McRee TE #8730 REC, 450 YDS, 4 TD
Tanook Hines WR #1628 REC, 398 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesDesman Stephens II LB #883
Eric Gentry LB #1876
Christian Pierce S #658
SacksBraylan Shelby DE #104.5
Kameryn Crawford DE #13.5
Jide Abasiri DT #973.5
InterceptionsBishop Fitzgerald S #195
Jamaal Jarrett DT #991
Braylan Shelby DE #101
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.