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Wk 4 · 2026

Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · no games yet
at
TBDET
ORE -5.5 · total 58.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential ORE by 5.7
Big Ten · 1-0

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Oregon is ranked #2 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17). USC is ranked #14 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Oregon: +19.0#5
Efficiency margin
USC: +10.9#15
Oregon: 36.8
Offense (pts/100)
USC: 34.6
Oregon: 17.7
Defense (pts/100)
USC: 23.6
Oregon: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
USC: 2076.0
Oregon: no data
Yards / play
USC: 6.64
Oregon: no data
Yards / play allowed
USC: 6.00
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Oregon: no data
Points / game
USC: 42.0
Oregon: no data
Points allowed
USC: 26.0
Oregon: no data
Yards / game
USC: 505
Oregon: no data
Yards allowed
USC: no data
Oregon: no data
Pass yds allowed
USC: no data
Oregon: no data
Rush yds allowed
USC: no data
Oregon: no data
Turnovers / game
USC: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Oregon form

No completed games on record.

USC form

W 42-26vs SJSU
2026 season

Oregon this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

USC this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentOregonUSC
UCLA
Big Ten
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Ohio State
Big Ten
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Washington
Big Ten
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Oregon leads 9–4 · Oregon has won the last 4
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.8 points toward Oregon
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22USC 2742 Oregonat OREOregon
20232023-11-11USC 2736 Oregonat OREOregon
20202020-12-18Oregon 3124 USCat USCOregon
20192019-11-02Oregon 5624 USCat USCOregon
20162016-11-05Oregon 2045 USCat USCUSC
20152015-11-21USC 2848 Oregonat OREOregon
20122012-11-03Oregon 6251 USCat USCOregon
20112011-11-19USC 3835 Oregonat OREUSC
20102010-10-30Oregon 5332 USCat USCOregon
20092009-10-31USC 2047 Oregonat OREOregon
20082008-10-04Oregon 1044 USCat USCUSC
20072007-10-27USC 1724 Oregonat OREOregon
20062006-11-11Oregon 1035 USCat USCUSC

Oregon leaders 2025 regular season

PassingDante Moore QB #5227/313, 2733 YDS, 24 TD, 6 INT
Brock Thomas QB #1212/16, 130 YDS, 1 TD
RushingNoah Whittington RB #6112 CAR, 774 YDS, 6 TD
Jordon Davison RB #088 CAR, 535 YDS, 13 TD
Dierre Hill Jr. RB #659 CAR, 481 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingMalik Benson WR #431 REC, 526 YDS, 4 TD
Kenyon Sadiq TE #1840 REC, 490 YDS, 8 TD
Dakorien Moore WR #128 REC, 443 YDS, 3 TD
Jeremiah McClellan WR #325 REC, 397 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesBryce Boettcher LB #28104
Dillon Thieneman S #3164
Teitum Tuioti LB #4457
SacksTeitum Tuioti LB #447
Matayo Uiagalelei LB #105
Nasir Wyatt LB #312
InterceptionsJadon Canady S #222
Dillon Thieneman S #312
Jerry Mixon LB #62

USC leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJayden Maiava QB #14247/373, 3431 YDS, 23 TD, 8 INT
Husan Longstreet QB #613/15, 103 YDS, 1 TD
RushingKing Miller RB #8131 CAR, 873 YDS, 7 TD
Waymond Jordan RB #288 CAR, 576 YDS, 5 TD
Eli Sanders RB #147 CAR, 264 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingMakai Lemon WR #679 REC, 1156 YDS, 11 TD
Ja'Kobi Lane WR #849 REC, 745 YDS, 4 TD
Lake McRee TE #8730 REC, 450 YDS, 4 TD
Tanook Hines WR #1628 REC, 398 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesDesman Stephens II LB #883
Eric Gentry LB #1876
Christian Pierce S #658
SacksBraylan Shelby DE #104.5
Kameryn Crawford DE #13.5
Jide Abasiri DT #973.5
InterceptionsBishop Fitzgerald S #195
Jamaal Jarrett DT #991
Braylan Shelby DE #101
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.