Wk 1 · 2026
SMU Mustangs at Florida State Seminoles — Mon, Sep 7
Mon, Sep 7 ·
Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
· ESPN
Weather at kickoff
83°F light drizzle
50% chance of precipitation · wind 7 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
#19 SMU Mustangs
ACC · no games yet
at
7:30pET
SMU -3 · total 53.5 DraftKings opened +2.5 · 0.5 toward SMU
Ratings differential SMU by 0.2
ACC · 1-0
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. SMU is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-08-17).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
SMU form
No completed games on record.
Florida St form
W 34-17vs NMSU
2026 season
SMU this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Florida St this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | SMU | Florida St |
|---|---|---|
| Louisville ACC | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Boston College ACC | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Virginia ACC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, SMU leads 1–0 · SMU won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
26.0 points toward SMU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-09-28 | Florida St 16 — 42 SMU | at SMU | SMU |
SMU leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Kevin Jennings QB #7 | 279/422, 3363 YDS, 26 TD, 10 INT |
| Charlie Fiser QB #14 | 4/4, 30 YDS | |
| Rushing | TJ Harden RB #27 | 161 CAR, 747 YDS, 7 TD |
| Chris Johnson Jr. RB #16 | 62 CAR, 463 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Derrick McFall WR #0 | 32 CAR, 183 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Jordan Hudson WR #2 | 56 REC, 749 YDS, 6 TD |
| Romello Brinson WR #3 | 43 REC, 638 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Yamir Knight WR #8 | 47 REC, 533 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Matthew Hibner TE #88 | 29 REC, 351 YDS, 4 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Ahmaad Moses S #3 | 91 |
| Isaiah Nwokobia S #12 | 80 | |
| Brandon Booker LB #28 | 62 | |
| Sacks | Isaiah Smith LB #1 | 8.5 |
| Terry Webb DT #4 | 5.5 | |
| Cameron Robertson DE #9 | 5 | |
| Interceptions | Ahmaad Moses S #3 | 5 |
| Isaiah Nwokobia S #12 | 2 | |
| Jaelyn Davis-Robinson CB #13 | 2 |
Florida St leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Tommy Castellanos QB #1 | 180/309, 2760 YDS, 15 TD, 9 INT |
| Kevin Sperry QB #9 | 12/17, 194 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Tommy Castellanos QB #1 | 137 CAR, 557 YDS, 9 TD |
| Gavin Sawchuk RB #27 | 109 CAR, 486 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Ousmane Kromah RB #32 | 72 CAR, 408 YDS | |
| Receiving | Duce Robinson WR #0 | 56 REC, 1081 YDS, 6 TD |
| Micahi Danzy WR #8 | 27 REC, 571 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Lawayne McCoy WR #7 | 27 REC, 396 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Randy Pittman TE #5 | 23 REC, 208 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Earl Little Jr. S #1 | 76 |
| Ashlynd Barker DB #7 | 48 | |
| Darrell Jackson Jr. DT #6 | 44 | |
| Sacks | Mandrell Desir DL #3 | 6.5 |
| Stefon Thompson LB #7 | 3.5 | |
| Ashlynd Barker DB #7 | 3.5 | |
| Interceptions | Earl Little Jr. S #1 | 4 |
| Jerry Wilson DB #19 | 3 | |
| Edwin Joseph S #14 | 3 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.