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Wk 12 · 2026

Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 82 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CAL by 1.7
ACC · no games yet

What is at stake

The Big Game. The Big Game, the Stanford Axe, and the only rivalry whose most famous ending involved a marching band on the field during a live play. They play for the Stanford Axe. A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Stanford: -3.0#84
Efficiency margin
California: -3.7#89
Stanford: 23.9
Offense (pts/100)
California: 25.2
Stanford: 26.9
Defense (pts/100)
California: 28.9
Stanford: -229.0
Pace (plays/g)
California: 65.5
Stanford: 6.80
Yards / play
California: no data
Stanford: 4.35
Yards / play allowed
California: no data
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Stanford: 37.0
Points / game
California: no data
Stanford: 27.0
Points allowed
California: no data
Stanford: 483
Yards / game
California: no data
Stanford: no data
Yards allowed
California: no data
Stanford: no data
Pass yds allowed
California: no data
Stanford: no data
Rush yds allowed
California: no data
Stanford: 0.00
Turnovers / game
California: no data
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Stanford form

W 37-27vs HAW
2026 season

California form

No completed games on record.

Stanford this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)

California this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentStanfordCalifornia
Wake Forest
ACC
at Wk 5 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
NC State
ACC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Virginia Tech
ACC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
SMU
ACC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Stanford leads 12–8 · Stanford won the last one
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.2 points toward Stanford
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22California 1031 Stanfordat STANStanford
20242024-11-23Stanford 2124 Californiaat CALCalifornia
20232023-11-18California 2715 Stanfordat STANCalifornia
20222022-11-19Stanford 2027 Californiaat CALCalifornia
20212021-11-20California 4111 Stanfordat STANCalifornia
20202020-11-27Stanford 2423 Californiaat CALStanford
20192019-11-23California 2420 Stanfordat STANCalifornia
20182018-12-01Stanford 2313 Californiaat CALStanford
20172017-11-18California 1417 Stanfordat STANStanford
20162016-11-19Stanford 4531 Californiaat CALStanford
20152015-11-21California 2235 Stanfordat STANStanford
20142014-11-22Stanford 3817 Californiaat CALStanford
20132013-11-23California 1363 Stanfordat STANStanford
20122012-10-20Stanford 213 Californiaat CALStanford
20112011-11-19California 2831 Stanfordat STANStanford
20102010-11-20Stanford 4814 Californiaat CALStanford
20092009-11-21California 3428 Stanfordat STANCalifornia
20082008-11-22Stanford 1637 Californiaat CALCalifornia
20072007-12-01California 1320 Stanfordat STANStanford
20062006-12-02Stanford 1726 Californiaat CALCalifornia

Stanford leaders 2025 regular season

PassingBen Gulbranson QB #15148/260, 1813 YDS, 9 TD, 10 INT
Elijah Brown QB #774/127, 829 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
RushingMicah Ford RB #20145 CAR, 643 YDS, 4 TD
Cole Tabb RB #3114 CAR, 445 YDS, 3 TD
Sedrick Irvin RB #2641 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCJ Williams WR #359 REC, 749 YDS, 6 TD
Sam Roush TE #8649 REC, 545 YDS, 2 TD
Bryce Farrell WR #1129 REC, 455 YDS, 2 TD
Caden High WR #037 REC, 414 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMatt Rose LB #35106
Scotty Edwards S #2154
Jahsiah Galvan LB #050
SacksClay Patterson DL #914
Ernest Cooper LB #443
Matt Rose LB #353
InterceptionsBrandon Nicholson CB #92
Collin Wright CB #61

California leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele QB #3288/453, 3117 YDS, 17 TD, 9 INT
Mason Mini TE #852/2, 58 YDS, 1 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael RB #6215 CAR, 853 YDS, 12 TD
LJ Johnson Jr. RB #1134 CAR, 117 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon High Jr. RB #1023 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJacob De Jesus WR #2199 REC, 892 YDS, 5 TD
Trond Grizzell WR #747 REC, 690 YDS, 1 TD
Mason Mini TE #8535 REC, 387 YDS, 4 TD
Jordan King WR #422 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCade Uluave LB #488
Luke Ferrelli LB #1287
Dru Polidore Jr. DB #259
SacksTJ Bush Jr. DL #35.5
Chris Victor LB #163
Cade Uluave LB #43
InterceptionsHezekiah Masses CB #55
Cam Sidney DB #201
Luke Ferrelli LB #121
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.