Wk 8 · 2026
NC State Wolfpack at Stanford Cardinal — Fri, Oct 23
Fri, Oct 23 ·
Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
· ESPN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 54 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 0-1
at
10:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NCSU by 0.5
ACC · 1-0
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
NC State form
L 8-34at UVA
2026 season
Stanford form
W 37-27vs HAW
2026 season
NC State this season
Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Stanford this season
Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | NC State | Stanford |
|---|---|---|
| Louisville ACC | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Wake Forest ACC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| California ACC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Duke ACC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, NC State leads 1–0 · NC State won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
31.0 points toward NC State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-02 | Stanford 28 — 59 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
NC State leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | CJ Bailey QB #11 | 259/372, 2884 YDS, 23 TD, 9 INT |
| Teddy Hoffmann WR #12 | 1/1, 59 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Hollywood Smothers RB #2 | 160 CAR, 939 YDS, 6 TD |
| Jayden Scott RB #1 | 87 CAR, 487 YDS, 4 TD | |
| CJ Bailey QB #11 | 82 CAR, 215 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Terrell Anderson WR #9 | 38 REC, 637 YDS, 5 TD |
| Justin Joly TE #7 | 47 REC, 468 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Noah Rogers WR #5 | 31 REC, 404 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Wesley Grimes WR #6 | 26 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Caden Fordham LB #10 | 130 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #23 | 68 | |
| Asaad Brown Jr. CB #6 | 57 | |
| Sacks | Travali Price DE #13 | 3.5 |
| Caden Fordham LB #10 | 3.5 | |
| Tra Thomas LB #4 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Devon Marshall CB #6 | 2 |
| Caden Fordham LB #10 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Shirley DT #88 | 1 |
Stanford leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Ben Gulbranson QB #15 | 148/260, 1813 YDS, 9 TD, 10 INT |
| Elijah Brown QB #7 | 74/127, 829 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Micah Ford RB #20 | 145 CAR, 643 YDS, 4 TD |
| Cole Tabb RB #3 | 114 CAR, 445 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Sedrick Irvin RB #26 | 41 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | CJ Williams WR #3 | 59 REC, 749 YDS, 6 TD |
| Sam Roush TE #86 | 49 REC, 545 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Bryce Farrell WR #11 | 29 REC, 455 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Caden High WR #0 | 37 REC, 414 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Matt Rose LB #35 | 106 |
| Scotty Edwards S #21 | 54 | |
| Jahsiah Galvan LB #0 | 50 | |
| Sacks | Clay Patterson DL #91 | 4 |
| Ernest Cooper LB #44 | 3 | |
| Matt Rose LB #35 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Brandon Nicholson CB #9 | 2 |
| Collin Wright CB #6 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.