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Wk 6 · 2026

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · no games yet
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WAKE by 0.5

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Wake Forest: +2.8#49
Efficiency margin
NC State: -0.1#67
Wake Forest: 26.2
Offense (pts/100)
NC State: 26.6
Wake Forest: 23.3
Defense (pts/100)
NC State: 26.8
Wake Forest: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
NC State: -1649.0
Wake Forest: no data
Yards / play
NC State: 3.29
Wake Forest: no data
Yards / play allowed
NC State: 6.07
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Wake Forest: no data
Points / game
NC State: 8.0
Wake Forest: no data
Points allowed
NC State: 34.0
Wake Forest: no data
Yards / game
NC State: 168
Wake Forest: no data
Yards allowed
NC State: no data
Wake Forest: no data
Pass yds allowed
NC State: no data
Wake Forest: no data
Rush yds allowed
NC State: no data
Wake Forest: no data
Turnovers / game
NC State: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Wake Forest form

No completed games on record.

NC State form

L 8-34at UVA
2026 season

Wake Forest this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

NC State this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentWake ForestNC State
Louisville
ACC
at Wk 4 · scheduled previewvs Wk 5 · scheduled preview
Stanford
ACC
vs Wk 5 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
California
ACC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Virginia
ACC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 8-34 preview
Duke
ACC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 10–10 · NC State won the last one
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.8 points toward NC State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-09-11NC State 3424 Wake Forestat WAKENC State
20242024-10-05Wake Forest 3430 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest
20232023-11-11NC State 266 Wake Forestat WAKENC State
20222022-11-05Wake Forest 2130 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20212021-11-13NC State 4245 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20202020-09-19Wake Forest 4245 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20192019-11-02NC State 1044 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20182018-11-08Wake Forest 2723 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest
20172017-11-18NC State 2430 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20162016-10-01Wake Forest 1633 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20152015-10-24NC State 3517 Wake Forestat WAKENC State
20142014-11-15Wake Forest 1342 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20132013-10-05NC State 1328 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20122012-11-10Wake Forest 637 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20112011-09-10NC State 2734 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20102010-11-13Wake Forest 338 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20092009-10-03NC State 2430 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20082008-11-15Wake Forest 1721 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20072007-11-17NC State 1838 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20062006-10-14Wake Forest 2523 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest

Wake Forest leaders 2025 regular season

PassingRobby Ashford QB #2171/289, 2169 YDS, 9 TD, 7 INT
Deshawn Purdie QB #541/82, 618 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
RushingDemond Claiborne RB #1179 CAR, 907 YDS, 10 TD
Robby Ashford QB #2116 CAR, 504 YDS, 7 TD
Ty Clark III RB #458 CAR, 232 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingChris Barnes WR #239 REC, 547 YDS, 3 TD
Carlos Hernandez WR #834 REC, 538 YDS, 3 TD
Sterling Berkhalter WR #1825 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD
Micah Mays Jr. WR #518 REC, 302 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesNick Andersen S #4595
Davaughn Patterson DB #578
Dylan Hazen LB #2468
SacksLangston Hardy DL #117
Nuer Gatkuoth DL #76
Gabe Kirschke DL #104
InterceptionsKaron Prunty CB #31
Zamari Stevenson DB #171
Nuer Gatkuoth DL #71

NC State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #11259/372, 2884 YDS, 23 TD, 9 INT
Teddy Hoffmann WR #121/1, 59 YDS, 1 TD
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #2160 CAR, 939 YDS, 6 TD
Jayden Scott RB #187 CAR, 487 YDS, 4 TD
CJ Bailey QB #1182 CAR, 215 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingTerrell Anderson WR #938 REC, 637 YDS, 5 TD
Justin Joly TE #747 REC, 468 YDS, 7 TD
Noah Rogers WR #531 REC, 404 YDS, 2 TD
Wesley Grimes WR #626 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCaden Fordham LB #10130
Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #2368
Asaad Brown Jr. CB #657
SacksTravali Price DE #133.5
Caden Fordham LB #103.5
Tra Thomas LB #43
InterceptionsDevon Marshall CB #62
Caden Fordham LB #101
Isaiah Shirley DT #881
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.