Also oursNFL Schedulethis site, for the NFLThe CFB Kingodds and projections — a paid site
CFB Schedule college football
CFBNFL
Wk 1 · 2026

NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Cavaliers — Sat, Aug 29

Sat, Aug 29 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA · ESPN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NC State Wolfpack
ACC · 0-1
8
at
3:30pET
UVA -4 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -5.5 · 1.5 toward NCSU
Ratings differential UVA by 12.8
Virginia Cavaliers
ACC · 1-0
34

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

NC State: -0.1#67
Efficiency margin
Virginia: +10.3#19
NC State: 26.6
Offense (pts/100)
Virginia: 28.8
NC State: 26.8
Defense (pts/100)
Virginia: 18.5
NC State: -1649.0
Pace (plays/g)
Virginia: 1768.0
NC State: 3.29
Yards / play
Virginia: 6.07
NC State: 6.07
Yards / play allowed
Virginia: 3.29
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

NC State: 8.0
Points / game
Virginia: 34.0
NC State: 34.0
Points allowed
Virginia: 8.0
NC State: 168
Yards / game
Virginia: 413
NC State: no data
Yards allowed
Virginia: no data
NC State: no data
Pass yds allowed
Virginia: no data
NC State: no data
Rush yds allowed
Virginia: no data
NC State: 2.00
Turnovers / game
Virginia: 0.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

NC State form

L 8-34at UVA
2026 season

Virginia form

W 34-8vs NCSU
2026 season

NC State this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)

Virginia this season

Straight up1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Against the spread1-0 · 100% (1 games)
Over / under0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentNC StateVirginia
Wake Forest
ACC
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
California
ACC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Duke
ACC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Syracuse
ACC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Florida St
ACC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 5 · scheduled preview
North Carolina
ACC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, NC State leads 6–3 · Virginia won the last one
9 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.3 points toward Virginia
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-08-29NC State 8 — 34 Virginiaat UVAVirginia
20252025-09-06Virginia 31 — 35 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20232023-09-22NC State 24 — 21 Virginiaat UVANC State
20202020-10-10NC State 38 — 21 Virginiaat UVANC State
20182018-09-29Virginia 21 — 35 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20122012-11-03Virginia 33 — 6 NC Stateat NCSUVirginia
20112011-10-22NC State 28 — 14 Virginiaat UVANC State
20072007-10-27Virginia 24 — 29 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20062006-10-28NC State 7 — 14 Virginiaat UVAVirginia

NC State leaders 2025 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #11259/372, 2884 YDS, 23 TD, 9 INT
Teddy Hoffmann WR #121/1, 59 YDS, 1 TD
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #2160 CAR, 939 YDS, 6 TD
Jayden Scott RB #187 CAR, 487 YDS, 4 TD
CJ Bailey QB #1182 CAR, 215 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingTerrell Anderson WR #938 REC, 637 YDS, 5 TD
Justin Joly TE #747 REC, 468 YDS, 7 TD
Noah Rogers WR #531 REC, 404 YDS, 2 TD
Wesley Grimes WR #626 REC, 382 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCaden Fordham LB #10130
Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #2368
Asaad Brown Jr. CB #657
SacksTravali Price DE #133.5
Caden Fordham LB #103.5
Tra Thomas LB #43
InterceptionsDevon Marshall CB #62
Caden Fordham LB #101
Isaiah Shirley DT #881
full roster and per-player history

Virginia leaders 2025 regular season

PassingChandler Morris QB #4257/398, 2802 YDS, 16 TD, 9 INT
Daniel Kaelin QB #1230/52, 339 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingJ'Mari Taylor RB #3222 CAR, 1062 YDS, 14 TD
Harrison Waylee RB #2198 CAR, 488 YDS, 5 TD
Chandler Morris QB #458 CAR, 245 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingTrell Harris WR #1159 REC, 847 YDS, 5 TD
Jahmal Edrine WR #742 REC, 526 YDS, 1 TD
Cameron Ross WR #648 REC, 518 YDS, 2 TD
J'Mari Taylor RB #343 REC, 253 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDevin Neal Jr. S #2777
Kam Robinson LB #564
James Jackson LB #162
SacksDaniel Rickert EDGE #526.5
Mitchell Melton LB #175
Fisher Camac DE #144.5
InterceptionsJa'son Prevard S #33
Antonio Clary S #02
Kam Robinson LB #52
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.